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Betting HQ · Week 6 · Sun 1:00 PM ET

SteelersatBuccaneers

KickoffSun 1:00 PMCBS
MarketTB -1.5the posted spread
Our numberFree with an emailsee our number for this game
Total40.5the posted total
Triggers3of our tested angles fire on this game; which ones, with the Pass

Where it turns: the run game. Expect the Buccaneers to run it until the Steelers prove they can stop it.

A Steelers win moves their playoff chances from 46% to 52%; a loss drops them to 38%. Play out the rest of their season →

A Buccaneers win moves their playoff chances from 16% to 22%; a loss drops them to 10%. Play out the rest of their season →

Who's out

Steelers

8 more

Buccaneers

6 more

Every read on this page assumes the man is on the field. Designations as of 2026-10-13.

Head to head

The longer bar is the better unit, and it takes its team's colour. A long coloured bar against a short grey one is where a side has the edge.

Steelers with the ball

Steelers offenseBuccaneers defense
27th
Passing
16th
3rd
Run game
4th
18th
Pass rush
30th
25th
Third down
4th
16th
Big plays
6th
13th
Turnovers
6th
19th
Red zone
9th

Buccaneers with the ball

Buccaneers offenseSteelers defense
30th
Passing
21st
2nd
Run game
29th
21st
Pass rush
23rd
18th
Third down
11th
23rd
Big plays
31st
23rd
Turnovers
15th
27th
Red zone
4th

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 5, close-game snaps.

Bets and money

On the moneyline, the money runs 31 points ahead of the bets on one side. Fewer people, betting bigger.

See the bets and the money→Every market, the share of tickets against the share of dollars. Free, just an email.

Team totals

Steelers team total 20.5 Bovada, over -130, under +100; the spread and total split it 21.5

Buccaneers team total 19.5 Bovada, over -115, under -115; the spread and total split it 19.0

Team angles

Every past game that looked like this one, counted by the side it covered. More of them than luck would give point at Under 40.5 and Buccaneers +2.5.

Under 40.5strong
4,887 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 2,530.
1.9xluck's count
Buccaneers +2.5some
1,153 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 527.
2.2xluck's count

The strongest angles behind each side, and the 4 situations on the schedule that fit this game, 1 past the luck line.

Get the Betting Pass→See which angles back each side. $5.41 a week, $119 for the season.

Player angles

The books have not posted player lines for this game yet; the angles on them land here when they do.

Model plays

Betting Pass

See our number for this game: free with an email.

See our number→Our own line on this game and how far it sits from the market. Free, just an email.

3 picks on the official card (1 bet, 2 watching): sized and priced, with the worst number to still bet each at.

Get the Betting Pass→See the plays, sized and priced. $5.41 a week, $119 for the season.

The card was last stamped Tue 12:34 PM ET, the same everywhere. If you bet with us all season: 60 and up 156-115-2, +24.2u.