Aidan Hutchinson
Detroit LionsModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 17 games
Draft & College
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
2024 Pro Bowl plus the on-pace DPOY trajectory broken by the week-six tibia/fibula injury plus the 2025 tier 2 (#9) return puts Hutchinson in the post-injury recovery context. The Michigan 2021 Heisman runner-up plus the Lombardi Award plus the 2nd overall draft slot establishes the highest pedigree of his class. The 2026 question is whether Hutchinson returns to tier 1 (#3-5) DPOY territory or whether the structural injury wear closes the elite ceiling.
Hutchinson came out of Michigan as the Detroit Lions' 1st-round pick (2nd overall) in 2022 after winning the 2021 Heisman Trophy runner-up and the Lombardi Award. He made the 2024 Pro Bowl and was leading DPOY voting before breaking his left tibia and fibula in week six of 2024. His STTM career runs tier 7 (#53) rookie, tier 1 (#8) in 2023, tier 2 (#12) injury-shortened 2024, and tier 2 (#9) in 2025.
Strengths
- 2021 Heisman runner-up plus Lombardi Award plus 2024 Pro Bowl plus the on-pace DPOY trajectory at the time of his 2024 injury establishes the elite ceiling.
- Tier 2 (#9) post-injury return finish in 2025 confirms the recovery is well on track, with the on-pace ceiling still within reach.
Concerns
- 2024 week-six tibia and fibula break plus the long rehab puts continued durability question on every 2026 projection.
- Detroit's broader defensive identity around the Dan Campbell scheme leaves Hutchinson's individual STTM trajectory partly outside his control.
What to watch: Whether Hutchinson returns to tier 1 (top 10) in 2026 plus wins his first DPOY, the threshold for confirming the post-injury recovery has restored the elite ceiling.