Dorian Williams
Buffalo BillsModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 16 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
Tier 8 (#79) rookie to back-to-back tier 5 finishes (#34, #40) for a 91st overall 3rd-round pick puts Williams on a stable developmental band. The Tulane AAC 2022 DPOY plus the Bills' structural anchor role gives him real college foundation. The 2026 question is whether Williams crosses into tier 4 territory or whether the structural tier 5 finish becomes the stable late-prime baseline.
Williams came out of Tulane as the Buffalo Bills' 3rd-round pick (91st overall) in 2023 after winning the 2022 American Athletic Conference Defensive Player of the Year. He spent his rookie year as developmental depth before emerging into a starter role in 2024. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#79) rookie, tier 5 (#34) sophomore, and tier 5 (#40) in 2025.
Strengths
- Tulane 2022 AAC DPOY plus 91st overall draft slot plus back-to-back tier 5 finishes establishes structural top-40 LB ceiling.
- Three years of Bills system experience plus the structural anchor reps gives him real developmental foundation.
Concerns
- Career STTM range capped at tier 5 (#34) flags the realistic ceiling at top-35 LB rather than Pro Bowl territory.
- Buffalo's cap structure around Josh Allen's QB contract limits the extension runway.
What to watch: Whether Williams crosses into tier 4 (top 30) in 2026, the threshold for confirming the structural ceiling can climb further.