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PlayerDorian Williams · LB, Buffalo Bills, Model Score 73.9Be the Bills GM

Dorian Williams

Buffalo Bills
Pos LB
Updated October 8, 2026

Model Score

73.9 MODEL
2023
70.7
2024
75.9
2025
72.8
2026
73.9

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Tier 8 (#79) rookie to back-to-back tier 5 finishes (#34, #40) for a 91st overall 3rd-round pick puts Williams on a stable developmental band. The Tulane AAC 2022 DPOY plus the Bills' structural anchor role gives him real college foundation. The 2026 question is whether Williams crosses into tier 4 territory or whether the structural tier 5 finish becomes the stable late-prime baseline.

Williams came out of Tulane as the Buffalo Bills' 3rd-round pick (91st overall) in 2023 after winning the 2022 American Athletic Conference Defensive Player of the Year. He spent his rookie year as developmental depth before emerging into a starter role in 2024. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#79) rookie, tier 5 (#34) sophomore, and tier 5 (#40) in 2025.

Strengths

  • Tulane 2022 AAC DPOY plus 91st overall draft slot plus back-to-back tier 5 finishes establishes structural top-40 LB ceiling.
  • Three years of Bills system experience plus the structural anchor reps gives him real developmental foundation.

Concerns

  • Career STTM range capped at tier 5 (#34) flags the realistic ceiling at top-35 LB rather than Pro Bowl territory.
  • Buffalo's cap structure around Josh Allen's QB contract limits the extension runway.

What to watch: Whether Williams crosses into tier 4 (top 30) in 2026, the threshold for confirming the structural ceiling can climb further.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Famous comp
names you know, same point in their careers (second years)
Built like
measurables only, his size
Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Names you know nearby: C.J. Mosley ’14 59%.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 2 stars, 4 starters, 7 backups, 7 didn't stick.

Dorian Williams Injury StatusNot listed

Dorian Williams is not on the injury report as of Oct 8. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Dorian Williams Stats This Season · 4 games

15
Solo Tackles
3
TFL
0
Sacks
0
INT
1
Pass Deflections
0
FF

Draft & College

Round 3, pick 91 · Buffalo Bills · 2023
Tulane (American Athletic)
Taken
#91
where he actually went
Consensus board
114th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#173
among LB in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2019-2022 · 48 games
289 tackles, 26 TFL, 9.5 sacks, 2 INT

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

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