Jarran Reed
Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 13 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Comps
STM Take
Four straight top-20 STTM finishes (2021-2024) plus the 2015 Alabama CFP National Championship plus 10 years of NFL survival makes Reed one of the most consistent late-prime interior defenders. The 37-spot regression from tier 2 (#15) in 2024 to tier 7 (#52) in 2025 flags injury, scheme shift, or one-year context spike. The 2026 question is whether Reed returns to tier 3 territory or whether the structural age-32 decline closes the elite chapter.
Reed came out of Alabama as the Seattle Seahawks' 2nd-round pick (49th overall) in 2016 after winning the 2015 CFP National Championship with the Crimson Tide. He has bounced through the Seahawks, Chiefs, Packers, and back to Seattle across 10 NFL seasons. His STTM career runs tier 2 (#13) in 2021 with the Chiefs, tier 3 (#20) in 2022 with the Packers, tier 2 (#13) in 2023 back with Seattle, tier 2 (#15) in 2024, and tier 7 (#52) collapse in 2025.
Strengths
- Four straight top-20 STTM finishes (2021-2024) plus the 2015 Alabama CFP National Championship gives him real consistent elite production.
- 10 years of NFL survival across three systems plus the consistent tier 2-3 peak gives him real veteran market value.
Concerns
- 37-spot regression from tier 2 (#15) in 2024 to tier 7 (#52) in 2025 flags injury, scheme shift, or one-year context spike.
- Age 32 plus 10 years of interior-line wear puts the late-career structural decline question on every 2026 projection.
What to watch: Whether Reed returns to tier 4 or better in 2026, the threshold for confirming the 2025 collapse was situational rather than the structural end of the chapter.
