New: Be a GM College lets you run your NIL budget, fight the portal, and play the season. Try it. →
StickToTheModel
FreeBe a GM · run the cap, the cuts, the trades and the draft for your teamRun the team

Josh Oliver

TE·Minnesota Vikings·#84·6'5"·264 lb·7th year·San Jose State
Tier 8Round 3, pick 69 in 2019
Updated November 4, 2026
73.9
Model Score
Down from 79.0 last year
Trade value ·a 6th

Josh Oliver has 3 catches, 46 receiving yards and 0 touchdowns in 2 games for the Minnesota Vikings this season through Week 8, 3.8 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 5.1 from last season.

708073.92021202220242026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

An elite blocking tight end paid like a specialist.

The case for

  • $36M Vikings contract as the elite blocking TE next to T.J. Hockenson establishes the rare specialty-position market value class.
  • San Jose State Mountain West 3rd-round origin plus seven years of NFL development gives him real journeyman veteran value.

The worry

  • Career STTM range typically tier 8 (blocking-TE role doesn't generate receiving production) confirms the specialty-position ceiling.
  • $10M 2026 cap hit on a specialty blocking-TE creates moderate contract-value risk.

What to watch: Whether Oliver holds the structural blocking-TE role for the full 2026 Vikings season or whether the role compresses to swing depth.

Full take and bio

$36M Vikings contract as the elite blocking TE next to T.J. Hockenson puts Oliver in the rare specialty-position market value class. The San Jose State Mountain West 3rd-round origin plus the structural Vikings blocking-TE role create the structural market value. The 2026 question is whether Oliver holds the structural blocking-TE role or whether Minnesota explores a draft replacement.

Oliver came out of San Jose State as the Jacksonville Jaguars' 3rd-round pick (69th overall) in 2019. He bounced through the Jaguars and Ravens as a blocking TE before signing a three-year, $21M deal with the Minnesota Vikings in 2023. He extended that deal to a three-year, $36M contract in 2025 to lock in the elite blocking TE role next to T.J. Hockenson.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Harrison Bryant, Ben Patrick, Virgil Green. Built like: Aaron Walker, Jared Wiley, Hayden Hurst.

Josh Oliver Injury StatusIR

Josh Oliver is listed on injured reserve (Biceps), reported Sep 30, with a return date of Jan 17. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 2 games

Rec3
Rec Yds46
Rec TD0
Targets5
Yds/Gm23.0
Fantasy PPG3.8
EPA / target0.910
Avg separation0.0 yd
Avg cushion0.0 yd
YAC over exp0.0
Catch %0.0%

3.8 fantasy points a game, 8 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$9.9M
APY
$7.8M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$15.6M
Years on Deal
4
Signed
2025
Est. Value
$3.5M/yr
overpaid by $4.2M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Draft & College

Round 3, pick 69 to the Jacksonville Jaguars in 2019, out of San José State (Mountain West). He went well ahead of consensus.

Taken#69
Consensus board141st
Our college model#277 TE

In college, 2015-2018, 26 games: 95 rec, 1,071 yds, 6 TD, 11.3 yds/rec. Coming out: 4.63s 40 yd, 22 reps bench, 34" vertical, 117" broad, 7.21s 3-cone, 4.47s shuttle.

Recruited

Class of 2015 · Tight end · High school: Paso Robles, CA

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 2,251 in the nation. Composite 0.7919, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
San José State

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2015 class are still being added.

Related Tools & Pages