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Josh Oliver

Minnesota Vikings·#84
Pos TEHt 6'5"Wt 250 lbExp 6 yrCollege San Jose State
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Model Score

63.7 MODEL
Resting on limited playing time

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 12 games

15
Rec
160
Rec Yds
4
Rec TD
20
Targets
13.3
Yds/Gm
4.6
Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

0.936
EPA / target
0.0 yd
Avg separation
0.0 yd
Avg cushion
0.0
YAC over exp
0.0%
Catch %

STM Take

$36M Vikings contract as the elite blocking TE next to T.J. Hockenson puts Oliver in the rare specialty-position market value class. The San Jose State Mountain West 3rd-round origin plus the structural Vikings blocking-TE role create the structural market value. The 2026 question is whether Oliver holds the structural blocking-TE role or whether Minnesota explores a draft replacement.

Oliver came out of San Jose State as the Jacksonville Jaguars' 3rd-round pick (69th overall) in 2019. He bounced through the Jaguars and Ravens as a blocking TE before signing a three-year, $21M deal with the Minnesota Vikings in 2023. He extended that deal to a three-year, $36M contract in 2025 to lock in the elite blocking TE role next to T.J. Hockenson.

Strengths

  • $36M Vikings contract as the elite blocking TE next to T.J. Hockenson establishes the rare specialty-position market value class.
  • San Jose State Mountain West 3rd-round origin plus seven years of NFL development gives him real journeyman veteran value.

Concerns

  • Career STTM range typically tier 8 (blocking-TE role doesn't generate receiving production) confirms the specialty-position ceiling.
  • $10M 2026 cap hit on a specialty blocking-TE creates moderate contract-value risk.

What to watch: Whether Oliver holds the structural blocking-TE role for the full 2026 Vikings season or whether the role compresses to swing depth.

Fantasy Outlook

Josh Oliver scored 55 PPR points, 4.6 per game this season. Compare him against any TE and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.

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