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Tyler Warren

Indianapolis Colts·#84UNDERPAID
Pos TEHt 6'6"Wt 261 lbCollege Penn State
Updated September 6, 2026

Model Score

84.0 MODEL
Resting on limited playing time

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 17 games

766th
Rec
8175th
Rec Yds
419th
Rec TD
1143rd
Targets
48.19th
Yds/Gm
11.111th
Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

0.77130th
EPA / target
3.3 yd32nd
Avg separation
6.0 yd
Avg cushion
0.722nd
YAC over exp
67.1%
Catch %

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 14 · Indianapolis Colts · 2025
Penn State (Big Ten)
Taken
#14
where he actually went
Consensus board
11th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#1
among TE in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2021-2024 · 40 games
149 rec, 1,764 yds, 18 TD, 11.8 yds/rec

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Coming out
4.68s
40 yd

Comps

College career
his college career vs theirs

STM Take

Warren at STTM #13 tier 4 with a rookie Pro Bowl nod is the highest year-one honor any 2025 TE earned. The 6'6" 256 frame plus the Mackey Award college resume makes him the long-term TE1 piece for the Colts. Daniel Jones's tier-2 QB jump gave him 76 catches as a rookie; year two with a stabilized QB room should unlock tier-1 production.

Warren was born in Mechanicsville, Virginia, attended Atlee, and won the 2024 John Mackey Award as a Penn State unanimous All-American. Indianapolis took him 14th overall in the 2025 NFL Draft. He made the Pro Bowl as a rookie and produced 76 catches for 817 yards and 4 receiving TDs (plus 1 rushing TD).

Strengths

  • Pro Bowl selection as a rookie at age 23; the year-one validation is rare for a TE.
  • 2024 John Mackey Award at Penn State; the college tape resume is among the best in the 2025 TE class.

Concerns

  • Recent game log shows multiple sub-6 PPR weeks; the rookie target share was inconsistent week-to-week.
  • Career 4 receiving TDs reflects a developmental red-zone role; the conversion rate needs to grow.

What to watch: Whether Daniel Jones's 2026 line confirms his 2025 jump; Warren's tier-1 case rides on the QB tier holding.

Fantasy Outlook

Tyler Warren scored 188 PPR points, 11.1 per game this season. Compare him against any TE and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.

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