Tyler Warren
Indianapolis Colts·#84·6'6"·256 lb·Rookie·Penn StateModel Score by season
Down 4.0 from last season.
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
A Pro Bowl rookie tight end built to be the long-term piece.
The case for
- Pro Bowl selection as a rookie at age 23; the year-one validation is rare for a TE.
- 2024 John Mackey Award at Penn State; the college tape resume is among the best in the 2025 TE class.
The worry
- Recent game log shows multiple sub-6 PPR weeks; the rookie target share was inconsistent week-to-week.
- Career 4 receiving TDs reflects a developmental red-zone role; the conversion rate needs to grow.
What to watch: Whether Daniel Jones's 2026 line confirms his 2025 jump; Warren's tier-1 case rides on the QB tier holding.
Full take and bio
Warren at STTM #13 tier 4 with a rookie Pro Bowl nod is the highest year-one honor any 2025 TE earned. The 6'6" 256 frame plus the Mackey Award college resume makes him the long-term TE1 piece for the Colts. Daniel Jones's tier-2 QB jump gave him 76 catches as a rookie; year two with a stabilized QB room should unlock tier-1 production.
Warren was born in Mechanicsville, Virginia, attended Atlee, and won the 2024 John Mackey Award as a Penn State unanimous All-American. Indianapolis took him 14th overall in the 2025 NFL Draft. He made the Pro Bowl as a rookie and produced 76 catches for 817 yards and 4 receiving TDs (plus 1 rushing TD).
Comps
The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.
Plays like: Jake Ferguson, Jordan Reed, Zach Ertz. Built like: Kellen Davis, Quinn Sypniewski, Crockett Gillmore. Coming out: Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Clark Harris, Jermaine Gresham.
Of his 20 closest coming out: 4 stars, 3 starters, 10 backups, 3 didn't stick.
Tyler Warren Props This Weekat MIN Sun Oct 25
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | +280 FanDuel |
Best price across 9 books as of Wed Oct 21. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
Play Tyler's numbers on Underdog · partner link
Tyler Warren Injury StatusQuestionable
Tyler Warren is listed Questionable (Groin), reported Oct 21. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
This season · 5 games
14 fantasy points a game, 70 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.
Draft & College
Round 1, pick 14 to the Indianapolis Colts in 2025, out of Penn State (Big Ten). He went about where consensus had him.
In college, 2021-2024, 40 games: 149 rec, 1,764 yds, 18 TD, 11.8 yds/rec. Coming out: 4.68s 40 yd.