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PlayerKyle Pitts · TE, Atlanta Falcons, Model Score 89.8Be the Falcons GM

Kyle Pitts

Atlanta Falcons·#8
Pos TEHt 6'6"Wt 250 lbExp 5 yrCollege Florida
Updated October 9, 2026
Compare Kyle Pitts TE rankings →

Model Score

89.8 MODEL
2021
89.0
2022
82.6
2023
85.8
2024
83.5
2025
96.0
2026
89.8

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Pitts at STTM #11 tier 3 in 2025 with his first second-team All-Pro nod is the long-awaited rebound after three middling years. The 45.6 PPR Week 15 spike is the kind of ceiling week the 2020 Mackey winner was always supposed to produce. Michael Penix Jr.'s tier-8 QB rank capped the volume; the 2nd-team AP recognition came despite the QB ceiling.

Pitts was born in Philadelphia, attended Archbishop Wood, and was the 2020 John Mackey Award winner plus unanimous All-American at Florida. Atlanta took him fourth overall in the 2021 NFL Draft, the highest TE pick in NFL history. He made his rookie Pro Bowl in 2021, then dipped before earning 2025 second-team All-Pro honors at age 25.

Strengths

  • 2025 second-team All-Pro at age 25; the long-promised breakout finally arrived.
  • 45.6 PPR Week 15 ceiling shows the rookie-year tape is still in there when targets concentrate.

Concerns

  • Three years of STTM #15-#18 finishes before the 2025 jump; the consistency case is thin.
  • Penix Jr.'s tier-8 QB rank means the volume rests on the QB's year-two jump.

What to watch: Whether Penix's tier-5-or-better year-two finish unlocks Pitts as a true tier-1 TE in 2026.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Jared Cook ’1566%Mike Gesicki ’2258%Logan Thomas ’1955%
Famous comp
names you know, same point in their careers (around year 6)
Gary Barnidge ’1475%
Plays like
on-field production only
Elijah Arroyo ’2584%Marcedes Lewis ’1582%Lance Kendricks ’1780%
Built like
measurables only, his size
Jared Cook81%George Kittle77%Visanthe Shiancoe72%
Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his
Harrison Bryant ’2063%Shawn Nelson ’0962%Ladarius Green ’1259%

Names you know nearby: Eric Ebron ’14 59%, Tyler Eifert ’13 59%, Dennis Pitta ’10 57%.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 4 stars, 3 starters, 10 backups, 3 didn't stick.

Kyle Pitts Props This Weekvs BAL Sun Oct 11

MarketLineOverUnder
Receptions2.5+116 DraftKings-130 BetOnline
Receiving yards24.5-113 BetRivers-112 BetOnline
Longest reception14.5-120 DraftKings-108 DraftKings
Anytime TD+380 BetRivers

Best price across 9 books as of Fri Oct 9. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Kyle's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Kyle Pitts Injury StatusNot listed

Kyle Pitts is not on the injury report as of Oct 9. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Kyle Pitts Stats This Season · 4 games

5
Rec
67
Rec Yds
0
Rec TD
9
Targets
16.8
Yds/Gm
2.9
Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

1.007
EPA / target
0.0 yd
Avg separation
0.0 yd
Avg cushion
0.0
YAC over exp
0.0%
Catch %

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 4 · Atlanta Falcons · 2021
Florida (SEC)
Taken
#4
where he actually went
Consensus board
4th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#1
among TE in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2019-2020 · 20 games
92 rec, 1,340 yds, 16 TD, 14.6 yds/rec

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Kyle Pitts Fantasy Outlook

Kyle Pitts scored 12 PPR points, 2.9 per game this season. Compare him against any TE and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.

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