Matthew Bergeron
Atlanta FalconsOVERPAIDModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 15 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Comps
STM Take
Three straight tier 8 finishes (#75, #97, #87) for a 38th overall pick is well below the year-three median for 2nd-round IOLs on Pro Bowl trajectories. The Syracuse tackle pedigree plus the position-switch to LG adds developmental complexity. The 2026 question is whether Bergeron crosses into tier 6-7 territory or whether the Falcons explore a draft upgrade.
Bergeron came out of Syracuse as the Atlanta Falcons' 2nd-round pick (38th overall) in 2023 as a projected tackle who the Falcons moved to left guard. The Falcons installed him as the starting LG from week one of his rookie year as part of the offensive line build around Drake London and Bijan Robinson. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#75) rookie, tier 8 (#97) sophomore, and tier 8 (#87) in 2025, three straight tier 8 finishes despite the 38th overall pedigree.
Strengths
- Syracuse tackle pedigree plus the 38th overall draft slot gives him real technical foundation that the tier 8 finishes don't yet reflect.
- Three years of full-time starter snaps at age 23-25 gives him the developmental runway as the position-switch settles.
Concerns
- Three straight tier 8 finishes for a 38th overall pick is well below the year-three median for 2nd-round IOLs on Pro Bowl trajectories.
- Atlanta's broader offensive line investment pattern (Neuzil, multiple Day 2 picks) signals the front office may still draft an upgrade.
What to watch: Whether Bergeron crosses into tier 6 (top 50) in 2026, the standard year-four threshold for 2nd-round IOLs on stable-starter trajectories.