Tyree Wilson
New Orleans SaintsModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 17 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
Three straight tier 7-8 finishes (#96, #65, #54) for a 7th overall pick plus the pre-draft Combine foot injury context puts Wilson in the negative draft-slot-vs-outcome class at the position. The Texas Tech Big 12 pedigree plus the 7th overall draft slot established elite expectations that the Raiders chapter has not yet matched. The 2026 question is whether Wilson crosses into tier 5-6 territory or whether the structural ceiling caps below the top-30 EDGE band.
Wilson came out of Texas Tech as the Las Vegas Raiders' 1st-round pick (7th overall) in 2023 after transferring from Texas A&M and earning 2022 All-Big-12 honors. He missed time as a rookie with a foot injury that he had at the NFL Combine. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#96) rookie, tier 8 (#65) sophomore, and tier 7 (#54) in 2025, three consecutive finishes that's below the structural expectation for a 7th overall pick.
Strengths
- 42-spot career improvement from tier 8 (#96) rookie to tier 7 (#54) in year three shows developmental trajectory.
- Texas Tech Big 12 pedigree plus the 7th overall draft slot gives him real technical foundation.
Concerns
- Three straight tier 7-8 finishes for a 7th overall pick is well below the year-three median for top-10 EDGE picks on Pro Bowl trajectories.
- Pre-draft Combine foot injury plus the Raiders' broader defensive identity instability compresses the structural support around Wilson's development.
What to watch: Whether Wilson crosses into tier 4 (top 30) in 2026, the standard year-four threshold for top-10 EDGE picks on Pro Bowl trajectories.