Packers pass defense, 6th, against a passing game ranked 30th.
Longer bar, better unit.
Falcons with the ball
Falcons offensePackers defense
30th
Passing
6th
10th
Run game
12th
2nd
Pass rush
17th
29th
Third down
26th
18th
Big plays
7th
30th
Turnovers
2nd
14th
Red zone
18th
Packers with the ball
Packers offenseFalcons defense
5th
Passing
15th
30th
Run game
15th
17th
Pass rush
10th
17th
Third down
15th
6th
Big plays
32nd
6th
Turnovers
29th
20th
Red zone
19th
Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 9 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.
Falcons scored 35 against a team total of 19.5: over.
Falcons scored 35 against a team total of 19.5: over. the spread and total, split.
Packers scored 14 against a team total of 24: under. the spread and total, split.
Falcons have covered 6 of 9 as an underdog in prime time.
Falcons have covered 6 of 9 as an underdog in prime timecovered
16 of 50 everywhere else, 2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2026 · points to Falcons +4.5
6 of 9in this spot
Packers have covered 2 of the last 2 meetings
Last time, 2023 week 2: Packers 24, Falcons 25, Packers covered.
2-0against the spread
The situations on the schedule that fit this game.
This week · Packers off an overtime game on a short week
8-29
this game200020052010201520202025
8 covered29 did notevery game since 1999, 22%; since 2021 4-8
The last time the Packers were here, Thanksgiving 2013: lost to the Lions by 30 as a 7-point underdog.
Inside the luck line: 37 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Falcons.
This week · Falcons after three straight misses against the spread with the worse quarterback by two tiers with the worse head coach by two tiers
135-99
this game200020052010201520202025
135 covered99 did notevery game since 1999, 58%; since 2021 34-23
The last time the Falcons were here, Oct 15, 2000: lost to the STL by 16 as a 18-point underdog.
Inside the luck line: 234 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Falcons.
This week · Falcons after three straight misses against the spread in the first four weeks with a bottom-tier quarterback
38-21
this game200020052010201520202025
38 covered21 did notevery game since 1999, 64%; since 2021 9-6
The last time the Falcons were here, Sep 16, 2007: lost to the Jaguars by 6 as a 10-point underdog.
Inside the luck line: 59 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Falcons.
This week · The total in the first four weeks in prime time with a backup quarterback on the field
17-23
this game200020052010201520202025
17 went over23 stayed underevery game since 1999, 42%; since 2021 6-5
Inside the luck line: 40 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the under.
Searched this week: 1,571 spread situations and 77 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.03 on the spread and 3.35 on the total.
Josh Jacobs has 9 of his last 10 games at home with a rushing touchdown.
Josh JacobsRB
Josh Jacobs has 9 of his last 10 games at home with a rushing touchdown. 15 of 32 everywhere else, 2024-2026.
Falcons with the ball
Packers with the ball
