Christian Watson
Green Bay PackersChristian Watson has 42 catches, 708 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns in 8 games for the Green Bay Packers this season through Week 8, 18.6 PPR points a game (updated November 5, 2026).
Model Score by season
A career-high 83.5 this season, up from 80.8.
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
A big-bodied deep threat who scores whenever the ball arrives.
The case for
- 59-rank year-over-year improvement; the largest WR jump in the top-20 outside Pierce.
- Career 20 TDs on 133 catches is a 15 percent TD rate; that conversion efficiency is among the league's highest.
The worry
- Pre-2025 line was STTM #48 and #78; the 2025 rebound sits on top of two down years.
- Recent game log shows a 3.7 PPR Week 16 and 5.9 PPR Week 15; the floor games still come when the deep ball doesn't connect.
What to watch: Whether Love's STTM tier-2 jump translates to consistent target volume for Watson in 2026, or whether the Packers' run-heavy script returns.
Full take and bio
Watson's climb to STTM #19 tier 3 in 2025 (from #78 tier 8 in 2024) is the comeback year that the Packers needed after his 2024 injury-shortened season. The 20 receiving TDs on only 133 career catches is a top-tier touchdown rate; the 6'4" 208 frame plus the FCS-era 4.36 speed remains rare. Jordan Love's tier-2 QB jump in 2025 finally connected for him.
Watson was born in Phoenix and grew up in Tampa, attending Henry B. Plant High School. He played at North Dakota State, winning four FCS national championships from 2017-2021 and earning first-team All-American honors in 2021. Green Bay took him 34th overall in the 2022 NFL Draft. Career line is 133 catches for 2,264 yards and 20 receiving TDs across four seasons.
Comps
The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.
Plays like: Ja'Marr Chase, Randy Moss, Terrell Owens. Built like: Adonai Mitchell, Stephen Hill, Bryce Lance.
Christian Watson Props This Weekat NE Sun Nov 8
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 4.5 | -141 BetRivers | +122 DraftKings |
| Receiving yards | 73.5 | -112 DraftKings | -112 DraftKings |
| Anytime TD | +175 Fanatics |
Best price across 8 books as of Thu Nov 5. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
Play Christian's numbers on Underdog · partner link
Christian Watson Injury StatusQuestionable
Christian Watson is listed Questionable (Ribs), reported Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
This season · 8 games
18.6 fantasy points a game, 149 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.
Contract2026 cap
Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.
Fantasy outlookWeek 9
Our rest-of-season board has Christian Watson at WR8 (the public consensus says WR9); the model has 125 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits NE.
Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.
Draft & College
Round 2, pick 34 to the Green Bay Packers in 2022, out of North Dakota St. (FCS).
Recruited
Class of 2017 · Receiver · High school: Plant, Tampa, FL
North Dakota StateHis full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2017 class are still being added.