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Betting HQ · Week 6 · Sun 1:00 PM ET

BearsatFalcons

KickoffSun 1:00 PMFOX
MarketCHI -3the posted spread
Our numberFree with an emailsee our number for this game
Total49.5the posted total
Triggers2of our tested angles fire on this game; which ones, with the Pass

Where it turns: the passing game. Expect the Falcons to find nowhere to throw.

A Bears win moves their playoff chances from 46% to 55%; a loss drops them to 33%. Play out the rest of their season →

A Falcons win moves their playoff chances from 32% to 44%; a loss drops them to 25%. Play out the rest of their season →

Who's out

Bears

10 more

Falcons

3 more

Every read on this page assumes the man is on the field. Designations as of 2026-10-13.

Head to head

The longer bar is the better unit, and it takes its team's colour. A long coloured bar against a short grey one is where a side has the edge.

Bears with the ball

Bears offenseFalcons defense
12th
Passing
9th
17th
Run game
8th
9th
Pass rush
6th
12th
Third down
15th
9th
Big plays
12th
17th
Turnovers
30th
32nd
Red zone
15th

Falcons with the ball

Falcons offenseBears defense
28th
Passing
6th
9th
Run game
32nd
6th
Pass rush
11th
20th
Third down
3rd
8th
Big plays
22nd
31st
Turnovers
18th
7th
Red zone
19th

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 5, close-game snaps.

Bets and money

On the total, the money runs 29 points ahead of the bets on one side. Fewer people, betting bigger.

See the bets and the money→Every market, the share of tickets against the share of dollars. Free, just an email.

Team totals

Bears team total 26.25 the 49.5 total and the 3 spread, split; no posted team total yet

Falcons team total 23.25 the 49.5 total and the 3 spread, split; no posted team total yet

Team angles

Every past game that looked like this one, counted by the side it covered. Neither side gets more than luck would give: nothing to bet on here, and that is the finding.

Bears -3could be luck
680 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 434.
1.6xluck's count
Over 49.5could be luck
906 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 712.
1.3xluck's count

The strongest angles behind each side, and the 2 situations on the schedule that fit this game.

Get the Betting Pass→See which angles back each side. $5.41 a week, $119 for the season.

Player angles

The books have not posted player lines for this game yet; the angles on them land here when they do.

Model plays

Betting Pass

See our number for this game: free with an email.

See our number→Our own line on this game and how far it sits from the market. Free, just an email.

2 picks on the official card: sized and priced, with the worst number to still bet each at.

Get the Betting Pass→See the plays, sized and priced. $5.41 a week, $119 for the season.

The card was last stamped Tue 12:34 PM ET, the same everywhere. If you bet with us all season: 60 and up 156-115-2, +24.2u.