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Betting HQ · Week 6 · Sun 4:25 PM ET

BillsatRaiders

KickoffSun 4:25 PMCBS
MarketBUF -6.5the posted spread
Our numberFree with an emailsee our number for this game
Total53.5the posted total
Triggers2of our tested angles fire on this game; which ones, with the Pass

Where it turns: the passing game. Expect the Bills to attack through the air all day.

A Bills win moves their playoff chances from 92% to 94%; a loss drops them to 86%. Play out the rest of their season →

A Raiders win moves their playoff chances from 19% to 30%; a loss drops them to 14%. Play out the rest of their season →

Who's out

Bills

4 more

Raiders

11 more

Every read on this page assumes the man is on the field. Designations as of 2026-10-13.

Head to head

The longer bar is the better unit, and it takes its team's colour. A long coloured bar against a short grey one is where a side has the edge.

Bills with the ball

Bills offenseRaiders defense
3rd
Passing
25th
8th
Run game
12th
16th
Pass rush
3rd
2nd
Third down
22nd
1st
Big plays
26th
24th
Turnovers
12th
5th
Red zone
28th

Raiders with the ball

Raiders offenseBills defense
6th
Passing
20th
24th
Run game
24th
30th
Pass rush
5th
6th
Third down
16th
18th
Big plays
23rd
17th
Turnovers
20th
17th
Red zone
27th

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 5, close-game snaps.

Bets and money

On the moneyline, the money runs 50 points ahead of the bets on one side. Fewer people, betting bigger.

See the bets and the money→Every market, the share of tickets against the share of dollars. Free, just an email.

Team totals

Bills team total 29.5 the 53.5 total and the 5.5 spread, split; no posted team total yet

Raiders team total 24 the 53.5 total and the 5.5 spread, split; no posted team total yet

Team angles

Every past game that looked like this one, counted by the side it covered. More of them than luck would give point at Raiders +5.5.

Raiders +5.5strong
1,333 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 560.
2.4xluck's count
Under 53.5could be luck
2,500 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 1,942.
1.3xluck's count

The strongest angles behind each side, and the 3 situations on the schedule that fit this game.

Get the Betting Pass→See which angles back each side. $5.41 a week, $119 for the season.

Player angles

The books have not posted player lines for this game yet; the angles on them land here when they do.

Model plays

Betting Pass

See our number for this game: free with an email.

See our number→Our own line on this game and how far it sits from the market. Free, just an email.

2 picks on the official card (1 bet, 1 watching): sized and priced, with the worst number to still bet each at.

Get the Betting Pass→See the plays, sized and priced. $5.41 a week, $119 for the season.

The card was last stamped Tue 12:34 PM ET, the same everywhere. If you bet with us all season: 60 and up 156-115-2, +24.2u.