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Kirk Cousins

QB·Las Vegas Raiders·#8·6'3"·209 lb·14th year·Michigan State
Tier 1Round 4, pick 102 in 2012
Updated November 4, 2026
89.0
Model Score
Up from 81.1 last year
Trade value ·a 3rd

Kirk Cousins has 2,124 passing yards, 19 touchdown passes, 5 interceptions and 7 rushing yards in 8 games for the Las Vegas Raiders this season through Week 8, 19.7 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Up 7.9 from last season.

809010089.020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A fading veteran passer whose arm no longer stretches the field.

The case for

  • Career 66.9% completion rate and the 2023 tier-1 finish show the processing and accuracy floor when he is protected. Back-to-back 26.92 and 17.58 PPR in Wk 15-16 2025 prove it remains.
  • Four career Pro Bowls and three top-15 STTM seasons (#6 in 2019, #11 in 2021, #4 in 2023) means the institutional knowledge of NFL defenses is still a coaching asset, even in a backup role.

The worry

  • Falling from #4 (tier 1) in 2023 to #28 (tier 7) in 2025 in two seasons is a real arc, not noise. The torn Achilles in October 2023 robbed him of the lower-body base the deep ball requires.
  • Single-digit PPR games in three of his last five (9.2, 9.14, 2.48, 2.12) and a sub-2 PPR appearance in Wk 11 suggest the floor has dropped, not just the ceiling.

What to watch: Whether Atlanta absorbs the ~$37M dead-cap hit to release him before the season, because Penix is taking over the offense regardless of how the QB room is paid.

Full take and bio

The Atlanta tenure is a clear decline from his Minnesota peak. He went from tier 1 (#4) in 2023 to tier 7 in both 2024 and 2025 (#26, #28), and Atlanta using a top-10 pick on Penix is the cleanest signal about his 2026 role. He can still produce starter-grade weeks in clean pockets (Wk 15 2025 hit 26.92 PPR), but the post-Achilles arm cannot push the ball downfield the way it did in 2022.

Cousins came out of Michigan State as a 4th-round pick by Washington in 2012, drafted behind Robert Griffin III in the same class. He worked his way to the starter role by 2015, was franchise tagged twice (2016 and 2017), and signed the first fully-guaranteed contract in NFL history with Minnesota in 2018 (three years, $84M). Four Pro Bowls and a 2023 tier-1 STTM finish (#4) preceded a torn Achilles that ended his season in October 2023. Atlanta signed him to four years and $180M in 2024 then drafted Michael Penix Jr. 8th overall in the same offseason.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Tom Brady, Jared Goff, Peyton Manning. Built like: J.T. O'Sullivan, Curtis Painter, Chris Simms. Coming out: Chad Henne, Matthew Stafford, Jimmy Clausen.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 3 stars, 3 starters, 5 backups, 9 didn't stick.

Kirk Cousins Props This Weekat NYJ

MarketLineOverUnder
Passing yards230.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada
Rushing yards0.5+100 Bovada-130 Bovada

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Kirk's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Kirk Cousins Injury StatusNot listed

Kirk Cousins is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 8 games

Pass Yds2,1243rd
Pass TD192nd
INT512th
Comp %64.3%16th
Rush Yds729th
Rush TD19th
Fantasy PPG19.76th
Total EPA50.56th
EPA / dropback0.1677th
Time to throw2.88s
Avg air yards8.3
Aggressiveness20.6%
Longest comp (air)57 yd6th

19.7 fantasy points a game, 158 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$1.3M
APY
$11.3M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$11.3M
Years on Deal
2
Signed
2026
Est. Value
$11.5M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Kirk Cousins at QB26; the model has 96 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits NYJ.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 4, pick 102 to the Washington Commanders in 2012, out of Michigan St.. He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#102
Consensus board76th

Coming out: 4.84s 40 yd, 28.5" vertical, 109" broad, 7.05s 3-cone, 4.5s shuttle.

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