Dalton Kincaid
Buffalo BillsDalton Kincaid has 27 catches, 401 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns in 7 games for the Buffalo Bills this season through Week 8, 11.3 PPR points a game (updated November 5, 2026).
Model Score by season
Down 3.1 from last season.
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
A Pro Bowl tight end capped by a run-heavy offense.
The case for
- First Pro Bowl in 2025 at age 26; the trajectory finally cracked tier 2.
- Career 156 catches across three seasons; the volume baseline is built into the Bills' offense.
The worry
- Recent game log includes a 0 PPR Week 16 and a 3.3 PPR Week 8; the floor games come on Bills' run-heavy days.
- Career 9 TDs is low for a Pro Bowl TE; the red-zone usage has not consistently materialized.
What to watch: Whether Buffalo's offense opens the passing menu enough to give Kincaid 1,000-plus yards in 2026.
Full take and bio
Kincaid at STTM #6 tier 2 in 2025 climbed two tiers from his prior #15 and #13 finishes, finally earning the Pro Bowl validation that the 25th-overall pick suggested. The Bills' run-heavy offense (James Cook led the NFL in rushing) capped his ceiling, but the Josh Allen tier-1 QB rank guarantees a target floor.
Kincaid was born in Las Vegas, attended Faith Lutheran, and played at San Diego and Utah before Buffalo took him 25th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. He earned his first Pro Bowl in 2025 and accumulated 156 catches for 1,692 yards and 9 TDs across three seasons playing alongside Josh Allen.
Comps
The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.
Plays like: Dallas Goedert, Zach Miller, Owen Daniels. Built like: Ed Dickson, Randall Telfer, Eric Ebron. Coming out: Dennis Pitta, Greg Dulcich, Trey McBride.
Of his 20 closest coming out: 2 stars, 5 starters, 9 backups, 4 didn't stick.
Dalton Kincaid Props This Weekat MIN Mon Nov 9
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 3.5 | -139 DraftKings | +110 Bovada |
| Receiving yards | 43.5 | -110 DraftKings | -114 DraftKings |
| Anytime TD | +310 Fanatics |
Best price across 8 books as of Thu Nov 5. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
Play Dalton's numbers on Underdog · partner link
Dalton Kincaid Injury StatusNot listed
Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report as of Nov 5. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
This season · 7 games
11.3 fantasy points a game, 79 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.
Contract2026 cap
Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.
Fantasy outlookWeek 9
Our rest-of-season board has Dalton Kincaid at TE10; the model has 88 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits MIN.
Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.
Draft & College
Round 1, pick 25 to the Buffalo Bills in 2023, out of Utah (Pac-12). He went earlier than consensus.
In college, 2021-2022, 25 games: 99 rec, 1,308 yds, 14 TD, 13.2 yds/rec.
Recruited
Class of 2018 · Tight end · High school: Faith Lutheran, NV
His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2018 class are still being added.