Where it turns: the run game. Expect the Texans to give up on the run early.
A Texans win moves their playoff chances from 19% to 30%; a loss drops them to 11%. Play out the rest of their season →
A Jaguars win moves their playoff chances from 97% to 99%; a loss drops them to 94%. Play out the rest of their season →
Depth charts and who's out
Who's out
Texans
Marlin Klein TECoach's DecisionOUT
Noah Whittington RBQuadricepsOUT
Aiden Fisher LBCoach's DecisionOUT
Chris Braswell DECoach's DecisionOUT
Collin Wright CBCoach's DecisionOUT
16 more
E.J. Speed LBQuadricepsOUT
Febechi Nwaiwu GCoach's DecisionOUT
Nate Thomas OTCoach's DecisionOUT
Sabastian Harsh DECoach's DecisionOUT
David Montgomery RBGroinDOUBTFUL
Jalen Pitre SShoulderDOUBTFUL
British Brooks RBHamstringIR
Jayden Higgins WRKnee - ACLIR
Tank Dell WRKnee - ACL + MCLIR
Ali Gaye DEKneeIR
Braden Smith OTFootIR
Henry To'oTo'o LBShoulderIR
Jake Hummel LBGroinIR
Jaylin Smith CBHamstringIR
Mario Edwards Jr. DTKnee - ACLIR
Solomon Byrd DEAnkleIR
Jaguars
- Nobody listed.
Every read on this page assumes the man is on the field. Designations as of 2026-10-13.
Head to head
The longer bar is the better unit, and it takes its team's colour. A long coloured bar against a short grey one is where a side has the edge.
Texans with the ball
Jaguars with the ball
Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 5, close-game snaps.
Bets and money
On the total, the money runs 59 points ahead of the bets on one side. Fewer people, betting bigger.
See the bets and the money→Every market, the share of tickets against the share of dollars. Free, just an email.
Team totals
Texans team total 20.5 Bovada, over -115, under -115; the spread and total split it 19.8
Jaguars team total 23.5 Bovada, over +105, under -135; the spread and total split it 22.8
Team trends
Each team's own record in a spot like this one, against its record everywhere else. A reason to lean, not a bet.
Team angles
Every past game that looked like this one, counted by the side it covered. More of them than luck would give point at Over 42.5 and Jaguars -3.
The strongest angles behind each side, and the 3 situations on the schedule that fit this game.
Get the Betting Pass→See which angles back each side. $5.41 a week, $119 for the season.
Player trends
Each player's own record in a spot like this one, his best stat first.
Player angles
No posted player line has an angle on it this week.
2 more posted lines with no read either way
C.J. Stroud 255.5 passing yards (over in 11 of his 35, 2024-2026) and Trevor Lawrence 225.5 passing yards (over in 15 of his 31, 2024-2026).Model plays
Betting PassSee our number for this game: free with an email.
See our number→Our own line on this game and how far it sits from the market. Free, just an email.
3 picks on the official card (2 bets, 1 watching): sized and priced, with the worst number to still bet each at.
Get the Betting Pass→See the plays, sized and priced. $5.41 a week, $119 for the season.
The card was last stamped Tue 12:34 PM ET, the same everywhere. If you bet with us all season: 60 and up 156-115-2, +24.2u.