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Betting HQ · Week 6 · Sun 9:30 AM ET

TexansatJaguars

KickoffSun 9:30 AMNFL Net
MarketJAX -1.5the posted spread
Our numberFree with an emailsee our number for this game
Total42.5the posted total
Triggers3of our tested angles fire on this game; which ones, with the Pass

Where it turns: the run game. Expect the Texans to give up on the run early.

A Texans win moves their playoff chances from 19% to 30%; a loss drops them to 11%. Play out the rest of their season →

A Jaguars win moves their playoff chances from 97% to 99%; a loss drops them to 94%. Play out the rest of their season →

Who's out

Texans

16 more

Jaguars

  • Nobody listed.

Every read on this page assumes the man is on the field. Designations as of 2026-10-13.

Head to head

The longer bar is the better unit, and it takes its team's colour. A long coloured bar against a short grey one is where a side has the edge.

Texans with the ball

Texans offenseJaguars defense
10th
Passing
8th
28th
Run game
2nd
7th
Pass rush
13th
21st
Third down
9th
15th
Big plays
4th
1st
Turnovers
3rd
26th
Red zone
2nd

Jaguars with the ball

Jaguars offenseTexans defense
7th
Passing
23rd
13th
Run game
9th
25th
Pass rush
15th
11th
Third down
14th
11th
Big plays
27th
20th
Turnovers
26th
9th
Red zone
16th

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 5, close-game snaps.

Bets and money

On the total, the money runs 59 points ahead of the bets on one side. Fewer people, betting bigger.

See the bets and the money→Every market, the share of tickets against the share of dollars. Free, just an email.

Team totals

Texans team total 20.5 Bovada, over -115, under -115; the spread and total split it 19.8

Jaguars team total 23.5 Bovada, over +105, under -135; the spread and total split it 22.8

Team angles

Every past game that looked like this one, counted by the side it covered. More of them than luck would give point at Over 42.5 and Jaguars -3.

Over 42.5strong
1,837 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 855.
2.1xluck's count
Jaguars -3some
731 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 426.
1.7xluck's count

The strongest angles behind each side, and the 3 situations on the schedule that fit this game.

Get the Betting Pass→See which angles back each side. $5.41 a week, $119 for the season.

Player angles

No posted player line has an angle on it this week.

2 more posted lines with no read either wayC.J. Stroud 255.5 passing yards (over in 11 of his 35, 2024-2026) and Trevor Lawrence 225.5 passing yards (over in 15 of his 31, 2024-2026).

Model plays

Betting Pass

See our number for this game: free with an email.

See our number→Our own line on this game and how far it sits from the market. Free, just an email.

3 picks on the official card (2 bets, 1 watching): sized and priced, with the worst number to still bet each at.

Get the Betting Pass→See the plays, sized and priced. $5.41 a week, $119 for the season.

The card was last stamped Tue 12:34 PM ET, the same everywhere. If you bet with us all season: 60 and up 156-115-2, +24.2u.