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Nico Collins

WR·Houston Texans·#12·6'4"·222 lb·5th year·Michigan
Tier 1Round 3, pick 89 in 2021
Updated November 4, 2026
87.2
Model Score
Down from 89.0 last year
Trade value ·a mid 1st

Nico Collins has 24 catches, 329 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns in 5 games for the Houston Texans this season through Week 8, 15.2 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 1.8 from last season.

6070809010087.2202120222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A steady top-tier receiver who wins on every catch.

The case for

  • Career 15.0 YPC on 289 receptions through five seasons; the per-catch efficiency is among the best in the field.
  • Two consecutive Pro Bowls with a tier-1 finish in each year; the rank is now stable, not aspirational.

The worry

  • C.J. Stroud's tier-6 finish in 2025 caps the team-level passing ceiling; Collins's volume lives on the QB.
  • Recent game log shows three sub-10 PPR weeks in the back half of 2025; floor games come when Stroud sits.

What to watch: Whether Houston's offensive line and pass-protection investments in 2026 lift Stroud back to tier-3 or better; Collins's volume rides on it.

Full take and bio

Collins at STTM #8 tier 1 in 2025 holds his 2024 ranking and confirms three straight tier-1 seasons. The career 15.0 YPC is among the best in the field for a possession-plus-vertical hybrid receiver. The Houston ecosystem (Stroud's bouncing rank, the 2024 sophomore dip) creates volatility, but Collins himself has been steady.

Collins was born in Pinson, Alabama and was part of the 2014 Class 6A state championship Clay-Chalkville team. He played four years at Michigan and was selected by Houston 89th overall in the 2021 NFL Draft. He has made two Pro Bowls (2024, 2025) and accumulated 289 receptions for 4,347 yards (15.0 YPC) and 24 TDs across five seasons. He went from STTM #99 tier 8 as a rookie to tier 1 in three of the last three years.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Randall Cobb, Carl Pickens, Antonio Freeman. Built like: Jeff Janis, DeVante Parker, Isaac TeSlaa. Coming out: Tee Higgins, Carlton Mitchell, Maurice Stovall.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 0 stars, 4 starters, 11 backups, 5 didn't stick.

Nico Collins Props This Weekat LAC Sun Nov 8

MarketLineOverUnder
Anytime TD+115 DraftKings

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Nico's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Nico Collins Injury StatusNot listed

Nico Collins is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 5 games

Rec2448th
Rec Yds32936th
Rec TD316th
Targets3548th
Yds/Gm65.820th
Fantasy PPG15.216th
EPA / target1.13025th
Avg separation2.1 yd55th
Avg cushion5.4 yd
YAC over exp0.627th
Catch %65.8%

15.2 fantasy points a game, 76 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$14.9M
APY
$30.0M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$57.0M
Years on Deal
2
Signed
2026
Est. Value
$37.7M/yr
underpaid by $7.7M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Nico Collins at WR12 (the public consensus says WR15); the model has 134 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits LAC.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 3, pick 89 to the Houston Texans in 2021, out of Michigan (Big Ten). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#89
Consensus board86th
Our college model#156 WR

In college, 2018-2019, 25 games: 75 rec, 1,361 yds, 13 TD, 18.1 yds/rec. (partial record)

Recruited

Class of 2017 · Receiver · High school: Clay-Chalkville, Pinson, AL

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 138 in the nation. Composite 0.9378, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
Michigan

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2017 class are still being added.

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