Nico Collins

Houston Texans·#12

Pos WRHt 6'4"Wt 222 lbExp 4 yrCollege Michigan

WR rankings →

Model Score

89.7 MODEL

2022

62.5

2023

89.9

2024

89.2

2025

89.7

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 15 games

7120th

Rec

1,1178th

Rec Yds

617th

Rec TD

12113th

Targets

74.59th

Yds/Gm

15.112th

Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

1.22928th

EPA / target

2.3 yd100th

Avg separation

4.8 yd

Avg cushion

1.317th

YAC over exp

58.1%

Catch %

STM Take

Collins at STTM #8 tier 1 in 2025 holds his 2024 ranking and confirms three straight tier-1 seasons. The career 15.0 YPC is among the best in the field for a possession-plus-vertical hybrid receiver. The Houston ecosystem (Stroud's bouncing rank, the 2024 sophomore dip) creates volatility, but Collins himself has been steady.

Collins was born in Pinson, Alabama and was part of the 2014 Class 6A state championship Clay-Chalkville team. He played four years at Michigan and was selected by Houston 89th overall in the 2021 NFL Draft. He has made two Pro Bowls (2024, 2025) and accumulated 289 receptions for 4,347 yards (15.0 YPC) and 24 TDs across five seasons. He went from STTM #99 tier 8 as a rookie to tier 1 in three of the last three years.

Strengths

Career 15.0 YPC on 289 receptions through five seasons; the per-catch efficiency is among the best in the field.
Two consecutive Pro Bowls with a tier-1 finish in each year; the rank is now stable, not aspirational.

Concerns

C.J. Stroud's tier-6 finish in 2025 caps the team-level passing ceiling; Collins's volume lives on the QB.
Recent game log shows three sub-10 PPR weeks in the back half of 2025; floor games come when Stroud sits.

What to watch: Whether Houston's offensive line and pass-protection investments in 2026 lift Stroud back to tier-3 or better; Collins's volume rides on it.