Trevor Lawrence

Jacksonville Jaguars·#16

Pos QBHt 6'6"Wt 220 lbExp 5 yrCollege Clemson

Updated September 21, 2026

QB rankings →

Model Score

86.2 MODEL

2021

77.5

2022

88.3

2023

85.4

2024

84.5

2025

86.2

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Trevor Lawrence Injury StatusNot listed

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report as of Sep 20. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Trevor Lawrence Stats This Season · 1 games

245

Pass Yds

Pass TD

INT

78.3%

Comp %

Rush Yds

Rush TD

25.9

Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

19.4

Total EPA

0.793

EPA / dropback

2.98s

Time to throw

11.2

Avg air yards

13.0%

Aggressiveness

44 yd

Longest comp (air)

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 1 · Jacksonville Jaguars · 2021

Clemson (ACC)

Taken

where he actually went

Consensus board

1st

average of the public big boards that spring

Our college model

among QB in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2018-2020 · 39 games

9,544 pass yds, 74 TD, 12 INT, 64.3% completions

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Comps

College career

his college career vs theirs

Darian Mensah85%Dillon Gabriel84%Trinidad Chambliss81%

STM Take

Lawrence jumped from STTM #29 tier 8 in 2024 to #12 tier 3 in 2025 alongside a second division title, the recovery the consensus had been waiting on since the 2022 Pro Bowl year. The career still reads as one elite season inside a stretch of #28-or-worse finishes. Tier-3 in 2025 is a real correction, but it does not yet validate the first-overall-pick label.

Lawrence was born in Knoxville, became a five-star recruit at Cartersville High in Georgia, and won the 2019 College Football Playoff national title as a Clemson freshman, picking up Archie Griffin Award honors. Jacksonville selected him first overall in the 2021 NFL Draft. He earned a Pro Bowl nod in 2022 after leading the Jaguars to their first division title since 2017, then captured a second AFC South title in 2025.

Strengths

17-rank jump from 2024 to 2025, with the AFC South title as the team-level confirmation.
Career 1,442 rushing yards and 23 TDs add a meaningful fantasy floor that pure pocket passers in this range lack.

Concerns

Career STTM line outside 2022 reads #45, #28, #29; the four-year context is mostly tier 7 or 8 play.
62.8 percent career completion and 98 TDs against 58 INTs are the weakest efficiency numbers in the top fifteen.

What to watch: Whether the 2025 jump compounds. A second tier-3-or-better year would finally make the No. 1-overall expectation feel earned.