CowboysatEagles

Longer bar, better unit.

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 6, close-game snaps.

Fewer people, betting bigger.

Bets is the share of tickets; money is the share of dollars. When the money runs well ahead of the bets, fewer people are betting bigger on that side, the move bettors call sharp money.

Spread

Cowboys-4.5+4.5Eagles

Bets63%37%

Money31%69%

63% of the bets are on the Cowboys, but 69% of the money is on the Eagles.

Since 2018: when most of the bets sat on one side and most of the money on the other, the money side covered 52.5% (178-161-14, 353 games). No better than a coin flip.

Total

Over44.544.5Under

Bets64%36%

Money100%0%

The over: 64% of the bets, 100% of the money. Fewer people, betting bigger.

Since 2018: when the money ran 20 or more points ahead of the bets on a side, the money side hit 56% (202-159-4, 365 games). Better than a coin flip, but inside the luck line: a random search finds that much by chance.

Moneyline

Cowboys-218+180Eagles

Bets89%11%

Money84%16%

The public is on the Cowboys: 89% of the bets.

Since 2018: when 75% or more of the bets were on one side, that side won 71.6% straight up, -2.5 units at the posted prices (197-78, 275 games). About even once you pay the prices.

Bets and money splits via DraftKings, as of Fri 12:04 PM ET. One book's customers, not the whole market.

Cowboys team total 24.5 Bovada, over +110, under -145; the spread and total split it 24.5

Eagles team total 19.5 Bovada, over -135, under +105; the spread and total split it 20.0

Over 44.5could be luck

786 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 481.

1.6xluck's count

Eagles +4.5could be luck

427 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 351.

1.2xluck's count

Searched this week: 1,216 spread situations and 87 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.04 on the spread and 3.4 on the total.

Cowboys -4.5: the strongest angles

their wins 2 or less; their injury cost minus the opponent's -16.16 or less 279-198

their injury cost minus the opponent's -16.16 or less; temperature 55 F or more 299-213

their run defense ranks 7 or worse (1 best, 8 worst); their injury cost minus the opponent's -16.16 or less 162-114

Eagles +4.5: the strongest angles

their receivers' height over the opponent's corners 0.69 in or less; their cover rate minus the opponent's -21% or less 70-42

their receivers' height over the opponent's corners 0.97 in or less; their cover rate minus the opponent's -21% or less 107-68

their receivers' height over the opponent's corners 0.69 in or less; their cover rate minus the opponent's -4% or less 140-92

Over 44.5: the strongest angles

their QB's career starts 87 or more; how far last game went over the total -13 pts or less 138-86

their QB's career starts 87 or more; how far last game went over the total -10.5 pts or less 183-117

their QB's career starts 87 or more; how much the opponent beat the spread two games ago -16.5 pts or less 93-57

Under 44.5: the strongest angles

their win streak (minus = losing streak) -4 or less; their coach vs the other coach (plus = worse) -2 tiers or less 70-33

their win streak (minus = losing streak) -4 or less; their coach vs the other coach (plus = worse) -3 tiers or less 39-16

their win streak (minus = losing streak) -4 or less; the opponent's defensive line ranks 7 or worse (1 best, 8 worst) 69-36