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Dak Prescott

QB·Dallas Cowboys·#4·6'2"·230 lb·10th year·Mississippi State
Tier 2Round 4, pick 135 in 2016
Updated November 5, 2026
89.8
Model Score
Down from 90.7 last year
Trade value ·a top-5 pick

Dak Prescott has 2,046 passing yards, 14 touchdown passes, 5 interceptions and 101 rushing yards in 8 games for the Dallas Cowboys this season through Week 8, 18 PPR points a game (updated November 5, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 0.9 from last season.

809010089.820162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A second-tier quarterback who rebounds every time he dips.

The case for

  • Eighth all-time in career passer rating with at least 1,500 attempts, a top-tier efficiency profile built across a full decade.
  • Bounced from STTM #23 tier 6 to STTM #6 tier 2 in one year, mirroring his 2021-to-2023 recovery.

The worry

  • Two tier-6 seasons in the last four years; the injury-driven dip is now a pattern, not an outlier.
  • Career interception rate (92 picks on 4,759 attempts) is the soft spot of an otherwise efficient profile and tends to spike in his down years.

What to watch: Whether he plays a full 17 games. Every tier-1 spike on his card sits inside a healthy season.

Full take and bio

Prescott climbed from STTM #23 tier 6 in 2024 back to #6 tier 2 in 2025, the same shape his career has shown twice already: injury-driven dip followed by a clean rebound year. Five years of starting data now put him squarely in the second tier as a baseline, with tier-1 spikes available when healthy. Top-five MVP voting last cycle keeps the ceiling honest.

Prescott was born in Sulphur, Louisiana and was a two-time first-team All-SEC pick at Mississippi State before Dallas took him in the fourth round of the 2016 NFL Draft. He was named Offensive Rookie of the Year, has since made four Pro Bowls, led the league in passing touchdowns in 2023, and finished second in the 2023 MVP vote. He received the Walter Payton Man of the Year award in 2022 and ranks eighth in NFL career passer rating.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Matt Ryan, Kyle Orton, Dan Marino. Built like: Aaron Rodgers, J.P. Losman, Marques Tuiasosopo. Coming out: David Garrard, Brett Hundley, Drew Stanton.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 2 stars, 2 starters, 9 backups, 7 didn't stick.

Dak Prescott Props This Weekat IND Sun Nov 8

MarketLineOverUnder
Passing yards260.5-114 FanDuel-114 FanDuel
Passing TDs2.5+162 FanDuel-220 FanDuel
Rushing yards5.5-114 FanDuel-114 FanDuel
Anytime TD+550 DraftKings

Best price across 8 books as of Thu Nov 5. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Dak's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Dak Prescott Injury StatusNot listed

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report as of Nov 5. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 8 games

Pass Yds2,0465th
Pass TD149th
INT512th
Comp %65.2%15th
Rush Yds10113th
Rush TD19th
Fantasy PPG18.013th
Total EPA49.07th
EPA / dropback0.1509th
Time to throw2.77s
Avg air yards8.4
Aggressiveness20.7%
Longest comp (air)56 yd8th

18 fantasy points a game, 144 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$43.5M
APY
$60.0M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$129.0M
Years on Deal
5
Signed
2024
Est. Value
$66.1M/yr
underpaid by $6.1M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Dak Prescott at QB9; the model has 144 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits IND.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 4, pick 135 to the Dallas Cowboys in 2016, out of Mississippi State (SEC). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#135
Consensus board99th
Our college model#48 QB

In college, 2014-2015, 26 games: 6,959 pass yds, 56 TD, 12 INT, 60.6% completions. (partial record) Coming out: 4.79s 40 yd, 32.5" vertical, 116" broad, 7.11s 3-cone, 4.32s shuttle.

Recruited

Class of 2011 · Quarterback · High school: Haughton, LA

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 611 in the nation. Composite 0.8597, the recruiting sites' average
Offer strength, our grade
71 of 100
Better offers than 89% of the 2011 class. How it is made
Offers
9
Schools that offered him a scholarship
Committed to
Mississippi State

His offer board, and the recruits whose boards look like it now →

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