GiantsatTexans

Longer bar, better unit.

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 6, close-game snaps.

Fewer people, betting bigger.

Bets is the share of tickets; money is the share of dollars. When the money runs well ahead of the bets, fewer people are betting bigger on that side, the move bettors call sharp money.

Spread

Giants+10.5-10.5Texans

Bets79%21%

Money89%11%

The Giants: 79% of the bets, 89% of the money. Fewer people, betting bigger.

Since 2018: when the money ran 10 or more points ahead of the bets on a side, the money side covered 52.1% (330-304-23, 657 games). No better than a coin flip.

Total

Over42.542.5Under

Bets72%28%

Money75%25%

The public is on the over: 72% of the bets.

Since 2018: when 65% or more of the bets were on one side, that side hit 49.7% (213-216-5, 434 games). No better than a coin flip.

Moneyline

Giants+390-520Texans

Bets16%84%

Money72%28%

84% of the bets are on the Texans, but 72% of the money is on the Giants.

Since 2018: when most of the bets sat on one side and most of the money on the other, the money side won 52.1% straight up, +13.5 units at the posted prices (187-172, 359 games). About even once you pay the prices.

Bets and money splits via DraftKings, as of Fri 12:04 PM ET. One book's customers, not the whole market.

Giants team total 16.5 Bovada, over -105, under -125; the spread and total split it 16.0

Texans team total 27.5 Bovada, over -110, under -120; the spread and total split it 26.5

Texans -10.5some

700 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 382.

1.8xluck's count

Under 42.5could be luck

1,560 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 1,583.

1.0xluck's count

Searched this week: 1,216 spread situations and 87 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.04 on the spread and 3.4 on the total.

Texans -10.5: the strongest angles

their injury cost minus the opponent's -16.16 or less; their cover rate minus the opponent's -27% or less 91-54

the opponent's cover rate this season 60% or more; their injury cost minus the opponent's -19.5 or less 174-111

their injury cost 0 or less; points the opponent allowed a game over the last three 27.67 pts or more 159-104

Giants +10.5: the strongest angles

how much they beat the spread a game over the last three (minus = missed) 3.83 pts or more; their defense: tall receivers vs short ones 0.77 x or less 56-34

how much they beat the spread a game over the last three (minus = missed) 1.67 pts or more; their defense: tall receivers vs short ones 0.77 x or less 73-47

what their defense allows to 6'3"+ receivers vs league 0.87 x or less; their defensive line vs the other (plus = worse) 2 tiers or more 106-73

Over 42.5: the strongest angles

how far last game went over the total 7 pts or more; the margin two games ago 19 pts or more 84-49

points they allowed last game 31 pts or more; their win streak (minus = losing streak) 2 or more 46-27

how far last game went over the total 3 pts or more; the margin two games ago 19 pts or more 108-72

Under 42.5: the strongest angles

what the opponent's defense allows to 6'3"+ receivers vs league 0.87 x or less; their defensive line vs the other (plus = worse) -1 tiers or less 88-46

what the opponent's defense allows to 6'3"+ receivers vs league 0.87 x or less; their defensive line vs the other (plus = worse) -2 tiers or less 62-33

what the opponent's defense allows to 6'3"+ receivers vs league 0.87 x or less; their defensive line vs the other (plus = worse) -3 tiers or less 40-19