Al-Quadin Muhammad

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Pos EDGE

Updated October 8, 2026

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Model Score

76.2 MODEL

2018

66.5

2019

70.7

2020

68.1

2021

76.4

2022

67.7

2024

69.6

2025

79.6

2026

76.2

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Four career tier 8 finishes (2020-2024) to tier 3 (#17) breakout in 2025 is one of the most dramatic late-career edge defender reinventions in recent memory. The Miami 6th-round origin plus the Saints-Colts-Bears-Lions journeyman path plus the 2025 tier 3 finish puts Muhammad in the rare class of nine-year veterans hitting a career peak. The 2026 question is whether the tier 3 finish holds across a full second Lions season or whether 2025 was a one-year context spike tied to specific Dan Campbell scheme fit.

Muhammad came out of Miami as the New Orleans Saints' 6th-round pick (196th overall) in 2017 and has bounced through the Saints, Colts, Bears, and Lions across nine NFL seasons. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#115) in 2020, tier 8 (#79) in 2021, tier 8 (#109) in 2022, tier 8 (#66) in 2024, and tier 3 (#17) breakout in 2025.

Strengths

Tier 3 (#17) breakout in year nine as a 196th overall pick puts him in the rarest outlier-positive late-career reinvention class at the position.
Nine years of NFL survival across four teams gives him real veteran-depth value as plug-in pass-rush rotation.

Concerns

Four straight tier 8 finishes before the 2025 breakout flags the structural ceiling as very likely Dan Campbell scheme-dependent.
Age 30 plus nine years of pass-rush wear puts the late-career structural decline question on every 2026 projection.

What to watch: Whether Muhammad holds tier 4 or better in 2026 with the Lions, the threshold for confirming the 2025 breakout was scheme-fit rather than a one-year context spike.