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Khalil Shakir

Buffalo Bills·#10UNDERPAID
Pos WRHt 6'0"Wt 190 lbExp 3 yrCollege Boise State
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Model Score

70.6 MODEL
2023
67.3
2024
71.2
2025
70.6

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 16 games

7218th
Rec
68637th
Rec Yds
438th
Rec TD
9731st
Targets
42.947th
Yds/Gm
10.342nd
Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

0.502108th
EPA / target
3.9 yd7th
Avg separation
7.0 yd
Avg cushion
2.36th
YAC over exp
80.9%
Catch %

STM Take

Shakir at STTM #39 tier 5 in 2025 (down from #30 tier 4 in 2024) reflects the volume cap that comes with Josh Allen's pass distribution to James Cook (rushing yards leader), Khalil Shakir, and the rest of the Bills' egalitarian offense. The 5th-round pedigree and the 197-catch four-year line make him an underrated piece in the Bills' system. The 0.7 PPR Week 11 floor is the cost of the offense's run-heavy script.

Shakir was born in Murrieta, California (his father was a Marine Corps Master Gunnery Sergeant), attended Vista Murrieta, and was a two-time first-team All-Mountain West selection at Boise State. Buffalo took him 148th overall in the 2022 NFL Draft. Career line is 197 catches for 2,312 yards and 11 TDs across four seasons playing alongside Josh Allen.

Strengths

  • 197 catches across four seasons as a 5th-round pick; the volume baseline is one of the better late-round WR breakouts.
  • Recent game log peaks at 20.2 PPR Week 19; the ceiling weeks live in playoff-relevant matchups.

Concerns

  • 9-rank slide from 2024 to 2025; James Cook's rushing-yards crown compressed the air-share for the entire BUF WR room.
  • Recent game log includes 0.7 (Wk 11) and 1.5 (Wk 13) PPR weeks; the floor games come often.

What to watch: Whether the Bills' run-heavy script holds in 2026 or Allen opens the menu for Shakir as the primary slot.

Fantasy Outlook

Khalil Shakir scored 165 PPR points, 10.3 per game this season. Compare him against any WR and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.

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