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Khalil Shakir

WR·Buffalo Bills·#10·6'0"·190 lb·4th year·Boise State
UNDERPAIDTier 2Round 5, pick 148 in 2022
Updated November 4, 2026
78.0
Model Score
Down from 83.5 last year
Trade value ·an early 2nd

Khalil Shakir has 27 catches, 344 receiving yards and 1 touchdown in 7 games for the Buffalo Bills this season through Week 8, 9.6 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 5.5 from last season.

6070809078.020222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A dependable receiver capped by a run-heavy offense.

The case for

  • 197 catches across four seasons as a 5th-round pick; the volume baseline is one of the better late-round WR breakouts.
  • Recent game log peaks at 20.2 PPR Week 19; the ceiling weeks live in playoff-relevant matchups.

The worry

  • 9-rank slide from 2024 to 2025; James Cook's rushing-yards crown compressed the air-share for the entire BUF WR room.
  • Recent game log includes 0.7 (Wk 11) and 1.5 (Wk 13) PPR weeks; the floor games come often.

What to watch: Whether the Bills' run-heavy script holds in 2026 or Allen opens the menu for Shakir as the primary slot.

Full take and bio

Shakir at STTM #39 tier 5 in 2025 (down from #30 tier 4 in 2024) reflects the volume cap that comes with Josh Allen's pass distribution to James Cook (rushing yards leader), Khalil Shakir, and the rest of the Bills' egalitarian offense. The 5th-round pedigree and the 197-catch four-year line make him an underrated piece in the Bills' system. The 0.7 PPR Week 11 floor is the cost of the offense's run-heavy script.

Shakir was born in Murrieta, California (his father was a Marine Corps Master Gunnery Sergeant), attended Vista Murrieta, and was a two-time first-team All-Mountain West selection at Boise State. Buffalo took him 148th overall in the 2022 NFL Draft. Career line is 197 catches for 2,312 yards and 11 TDs across four seasons playing alongside Josh Allen.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Allen Hurns, Curtis Conway, Miles Austin. Built like: Denarius Moore, Byron Pringle, T.J. Jones. Coming out: Nelson Agholor, Tylan Wallace, Quinton Patton.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 1 star, 5 starters, 11 backups, 3 didn't stick.

Khalil Shakir Props This Weekvs BAL

MarketLineOverUnder
Receptions3.5-165 Bovada+125 Bovada
Receiving yards44.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Khalil's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Khalil Shakir Injury StatusNot listed

Khalil Shakir is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 7 games

Rec2736th
Rec Yds34430th
Rec TD137th
Targets3844th
Yds/Gm49.131st
Fantasy PPG9.637th
EPA / target0.90140th
Avg separation4.3 yd3rd
Avg cushion6.6 yd
YAC over exp0.336th
Catch %70.8%

9.6 fantasy points a game, 67 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$6.8M
APY
$13.2M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$18.1M
Years on Deal
6
Signed
2025
Est. Value
$23.8M/yr
underpaid by $10.6M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Khalil Shakir at WR48 (the public consensus says WR45); the model has 90 PPR points left for him this season; this week he hosts BAL.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 5, pick 148 to the Buffalo Bills in 2022, out of Boise State (Mountain West).

Taken#148
Our college model#48 WR

In college, 2018-2021, 41 games: 201 rec, 2,759 yds, 20 TD, 13.7 yds/rec.

Recruited

Class of 2018 · Athlete · High school: Vista Murrieta, Murrieta, CA

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 360 in the nation. Composite 0.8918, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
Boise State

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2018 class are still being added.

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