A.J. Brown
New England PatriotsA.J. Brown has 9 catches, 101 receiving yards and 0 touchdowns in 3 games for the New England Patriots this season through Week 8, 6.4 PPR points a game (updated November 5, 2026).
Model Score by season
Holding at 88.3.
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
A top receiver whose production rides his quarterback's form.
The case for
- Three consecutive second-team All-Pros (2022-2024) plus a Super Bowl LIX ring; the resume tier is locked in.
- Career 8,029 receiving yards and 56 TDs at age 28; the prime is still here.
The worry
- Jalen Hurts's 2025 slide to STTM #14 tier 4 capped the air-yards volume that fed Brown's prior tier-1 seasons.
- 7-rank slide from 2024 to 2025; the trajectory is going the wrong way despite the team success.
What to watch: Whether Philadelphia's offense opens the passing menu back up in 2026 or stays committed to the run-heavy Hurts script that capped Brown's air share.
Full take and bio
Brown at STTM #10 tier 2 in 2025 (down from #3 tier 1 in 2024) reflects the post-championship hangover after the Eagles' Super Bowl LIX run. The 2025 game log has 25+ PPR weeks (Wk 13, Wk 12) and a 5.5-PPR finale, the kind of split that follows when Hurts's STTM rank slides from #8 to #14. The career baseline (8,000+ yards, 56 TDs, three straight 2nd-team APs) is intact.
Brown was born in Starkville, Mississippi, attended Starkville High, and won the 2017 Conerly Trophy at Ole Miss after two consecutive first-team All-SEC seasons. The Titans took him 51st overall in the 2019 NFL Draft, and Philadelphia traded for him in 2022. He has won Super Bowl LIX, made three Pro Bowls, and earned three consecutive second-team All-Pro nods (2022-2024). Career line is 524 catches for 8,029 yards and 56 TDs across seven seasons.
Comps
The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.
Plays like: Victor Cruz, Kevin Johnson, Wayne Chrebet. Built like: Junior Hemingway, Leonte Carroo, Delanie Walker.
A.J. Brown Injury StatusQuestionable
A.J. Brown is listed Questionable (Ankle), reported Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
This season · 3 games
6.4 fantasy points a game, 19 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.
Contract2026 cap
Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.
Fantasy outlookWeek 9
Our rest-of-season board has A.J. Brown at WR22 (the public consensus says WR23); the model has 69 PPR points left for him this season.
Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.
Draft & College
Round 2, pick 51 to the Tennessee Titans in 2019, out of Ole Miss (SEC). He lasted longer than consensus.
In college, 2016-2018, 35 games: 188 rec, 2,990 yds, 19 TD, 15.9 yds/rec. Coming out: 4.49s 40 yd, 19 reps bench, 36.5" vertical, 120" broad.
Recruited
Class of 2016 · Receiver · High school: Starkville, MS
Ole MissHis full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2016 class are still being added.