Dre Greenlaw
Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 8 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
Super Bowl LVIII Achilles tear plus the 2025 tier 1 (#6) Denver bounce-back puts Greenlaw in the rare post-Achilles recovery class with structural top-10 ceiling. The Arkansas 5th-round origin plus the change of scenery to Denver's Vance Joseph scheme appears to be the catalyst. The 2026 question is whether Greenlaw earns his first Pro Bowl plus holds tier 1 territory or whether the 2025 finish was a one-year context spike.
Greenlaw came out of Arkansas as the San Francisco 49ers' 5th-round pick (148th overall) in 2019 and played in Super Bowls LIV and LVIII for the 49ers. He tore his Achilles on the opening play of Super Bowl LVIII and signed with the Denver Broncos in 2025 free agency. His STTM career runs tier 3 (#24) rookie, tier 2 (#15) in 2022, tier 2 (#16) in 2023, and tier 1 (#6) breakout in 2025 with Denver.
Strengths
- Super Bowl LIV and LVIII appearances plus the 2025 tier 1 (#6) Denver bounce-back after the 2024 Achilles recovery establishes structural top-10 LB ceiling.
- Arkansas SEC 5th-round origin plus seven years of NFL development gives him real veteran market value.
Concerns
- Super Bowl LVIII Achilles tear puts continued durability question on every 2026 projection.
- Denver's broader defensive identity around Vance Joseph's scheme continuity puts continued Greenlaw ceiling partly scheme-dependent.
What to watch: Whether Greenlaw earns his first Pro Bowl in 2026 plus holds tier 2 or better, the threshold for confirming the 2025 breakout was structural.
