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PlayerJaelan Phillips · EDGE, Carolina Panthers, Model Score 80.8Be the Panthers GM

Jaelan Phillips

Carolina PanthersOVERPAID
Pos EDGE
Updated October 8, 2026

Model Score

80.8 MODEL
2021
80.5
2022
84.5
2023
76.9
2025
76.4
2026
80.8

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Miami 18th overall draft pedigree plus the back-to-back 7-sack early-career seasons plus the multi-year Achilles-ACL injury history puts Phillips in the high-pedigree post-injury recovery EDGE class. The Miami-via-UCLA transfer pedigree plus the structural Dolphins anchor role establish real college foundation. The 2026 question is whether Phillips returns to tier 4-5 territory or whether the structural multi-year injury wear closes the elite chapter expected from a top-20 pick.

Phillips came out of Miami as the Miami Dolphins' 1st-round pick (18th overall) in 2021 after transferring from UCLA. He delivered a 7-sack rookie season and another 7 sacks in 2022 before tearing his Achilles midseason in 2023. He returned in 2024 but tore his ACL late in the season.

Strengths

  • Miami 18th overall draft pedigree plus the back-to-back 7-sack early-career seasons establishes structural top-25 EDGE ceiling at peak.
  • Miami-via-UCLA transfer pedigree plus five years of NFL development gives him real college foundation.

Concerns

  • Multi-year injury history (2023 Achilles, 2024 ACL) puts continued durability question on every 2026 projection.
  • Miami's broader defensive identity around the Tua Tagovailoa offensive instability puts continued Phillips production partly outside his control.

What to watch: Whether Phillips returns to tier 5 (top 40) in 2026 post-ACL recovery, the threshold for confirming the elite ceiling can be recaptured.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Plays like
on-field production only

Jaelan Phillips Injury StatusQuestionable

Jaelan Phillips is listed Questionable (Hamstring), reported Oct 5. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Jaelan Phillips Stats This Season · 4 games

2
Sacks
8
Pressures
2
QB Hits
2
TFL
7
Tackles
0
FF

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 18 · Miami Dolphins · 2021
Miami (ACC)
Taken
#18
where he actually went
Consensus board
19th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#30
among EDGE in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2017-2020 · 34 games
11.5 sacks, 24 TFL, 18 pressures, 86 tackles

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

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