Joey Bosa
Buffalo BillsModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 15 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
STM Take
Five Pro Bowls plus 2016 DROY plus 75+ career sacks plus the 2020 tier 1 (#6) peak puts Bosa in the rarefied air of edge defenders with both elite résumés and structural mid-career stability. The 2025 tier 3 (#24) Buffalo finish at age 30 confirms the late-prime ceiling is still reachable. The 2026 question is whether Bosa earns his sixth Pro Bowl or whether the structural age-related decline finally reasserts.
Bosa came out of Ohio State as the Los Angeles Chargers' 1st-round pick (3rd overall) in 2016 after winning the 2014 Big Ten Defensive Lineman of the Year. He has made five Pro Bowls (2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021), earned the 2016 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year, and crossed 75 career sacks across nine seasons. He signed with the Buffalo Bills in 2025 free agency. His STTM career runs tier 1 (#6) peak in 2020, tier 3 (#18) in 2021, tier 4 (#29) in 2023, tier 5 (#33) in 2024, and tier 3 (#24) in 2025 with Buffalo.
Strengths
- Five Pro Bowls plus 2016 DROY plus 75+ career sacks plus the 2020 tier 1 (#6) peak establishes a top-tier edge defender résumé.
- Tier 3 (#24) finish at age 30 in his first Buffalo season confirms the change-of-scenery to a contender produced real production.
Concerns
- Three-year decline from tier 3 (#18) in 2021 to tier 5 (#33) in 2024 before the 2025 Buffalo bounce flags the structural age-related decline trajectory.
- Multi-year injury history (multiple groin and concussion absences) puts the late-career durability question on every 2026 projection.
What to watch: Whether Bosa earns his sixth Pro Bowl in 2026 plus holds tier 3 with Buffalo, the threshold for confirming the late-prime ceiling is sustained.