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PlayerJonathan Greenard · EDGE, Philadelphia Eagles, Model Score 71.4Be the Eagles GM

Jonathan Greenard

Philadelphia Eagles
Pos EDGE
Updated October 8, 2026

Model Score

71.4 MODEL
Resting on limited playing time

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Tier 1 (#4) peak in 2023 plus the $76M Vikings extension plus the 2024 tier 2 (#11) Vikings debut to tier 6 (#41) collapse in 2025 creates a major contract-vs-STTM gap. The Florida pedigree plus the 3rd-round origin makes the 2023 breakout remarkable, but the 2025 regression flags real risk. The 2026 question is whether Greenard returns to tier 2 territory or whether the $76M contract becomes a structural cap problem for Minnesota.

Greenard came out of Florida as the Houston Texans' 3rd-round pick (90th overall) in 2020 after transferring from Louisville. He emerged into a tier 1 (#4) breakout in 2023 with the Texans, then signed a four-year, $76M deal with the Minnesota Vikings in 2024 free agency. His STTM career runs tier 2 (#15) in 2021, tier 8 (#84) in 2022, tier 1 (#4) peak in 2023, tier 2 (#11) in 2024, and tier 6 (#41) in 2025.

Strengths

  • 2023 tier 1 (#4) peak as a 3rd-round pick confirms a top-5 EDGE ceiling exists when the structural context aligns.
  • Five years of NFL development across two systems plus the 2024 tier 2 (#11) Vikings debut gives him real veteran value.

Concerns

  • 30-spot regression from tier 2 (#11) in 2024 to tier 6 (#41) in 2025 flags either injury, scheme shift, or one-year context spike.
  • $76M Vikings contract creates major contract-value risk if the 2025 finish doesn't bounce back to tier 3 or better in 2026.

What to watch: Whether Greenard returns to tier 3 (top 25) in 2026, the threshold for closing the gap between $76M contract value and STTM ranking.

Jonathan Greenard Injury StatusQuestionable

Jonathan Greenard is listed Questionable (Ankle), reported Oct 5. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Draft & College

Round 3, pick 90 · Houston Texans · 2020
Florida (SEC)
Taken
#90
where he actually went
Consensus board
52nd
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#8
among EDGE in our college data

He lasted longer than consensus.

In college · 2016-2019 · 36 games · partial record
19.5 sacks, 38 TFL, 38 pressures, 122 tackles

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Coming out
4.87s
40 yd
22 reps
Bench
30.5"
Vertical
113"
Broad
7.13s
3-cone
4.34s
Shuttle
What this pick usually becomes

Of the 410 players taken as a third-rounder between 2012 and 2021, 51% earned a second contract and 39% became starters. The median one started 21 career games.

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