Kayvon Thibodeaux
New York GiantsModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 10 games
Draft & College
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
11.5-sack 2023 season plus the Oregon 5th overall draft pedigree plus the 2021 Pac-12 DPOY establishes Thibodeaux in the high-pedigree EDGE class. The 2024 wrist injury plus the limited 2025 production put the developmental trajectory at risk. The 2026 question is whether Thibodeaux returns to tier 3-4 territory or whether the structural mid-career instability closes the elite chapter expected from a top-5 pick.
Thibodeaux came out of Oregon as the New York Giants' 1st-round pick (5th overall) in 2022 after earning 2021 Pac-12 Defensive Player of the Year. He delivered 11.5 sacks in 2023. He missed extensive time in 2024 with a wrist injury and the Giants exercised his 5th-year option in 2025.
Strengths
- 11.5-sack 2023 season plus the Oregon 5th overall draft pedigree plus 2021 Pac-12 DPOY establishes the elite EDGE pedigree.
- Giants' 5th-year option exercise in 2025 reflects continued long-term commitment despite the injury context.
Concerns
- Career STTM range mostly tier 5-7 for a 5th overall pick puts him in the negative draft-slot-vs-outcome class.
- 2024 wrist injury plus the limited 2025 production puts continued durability question on every 2026 projection.
What to watch: Whether Thibodeaux crosses into tier 3 (top 25) in 2026, the standard year-five threshold for top-5 EDGE picks on Pro Bowl trajectories.