Kayvon Thibodeaux

New York Giants

Pos EDGE

Updated October 8, 2026

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Model Score

76.0 MODEL

2022

73.9

2023

85.0

2024

76.6

2025

70.4

2026

76.0

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

11.5-sack 2023 season plus the Oregon 5th overall draft pedigree plus the 2021 Pac-12 DPOY establishes Thibodeaux in the high-pedigree EDGE class. The 2024 wrist injury plus the limited 2025 production put the developmental trajectory at risk. The 2026 question is whether Thibodeaux returns to tier 3-4 territory or whether the structural mid-career instability closes the elite chapter expected from a top-5 pick.

Thibodeaux came out of Oregon as the New York Giants' 1st-round pick (5th overall) in 2022 after earning 2021 Pac-12 Defensive Player of the Year. He delivered 11.5 sacks in 2023. He missed extensive time in 2024 with a wrist injury and the Giants exercised his 5th-year option in 2025.

Strengths

11.5-sack 2023 season plus the Oregon 5th overall draft pedigree plus 2021 Pac-12 DPOY establishes the elite EDGE pedigree.
Giants' 5th-year option exercise in 2025 reflects continued long-term commitment despite the injury context.

Concerns

Career STTM range mostly tier 5-7 for a 5th overall pick puts him in the negative draft-slot-vs-outcome class.
2024 wrist injury plus the limited 2025 production puts continued durability question on every 2026 projection.

What to watch: Whether Thibodeaux crosses into tier 3 (top 25) in 2026, the standard year-five threshold for top-5 EDGE picks on Pro Bowl trajectories.