Rashan Gary
Dallas CowboysUNDERPAIDModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 16 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
2022 Pro Bowl plus the post-ACL return puts Gary in the small group of edge defenders who have recovered into structural starter ceilings without quite reaching the pre-injury tier 2 peak. The Michigan All-American pedigree plus seven years of Packers starter reps gives him real veteran value. The 2026 question is whether Gary returns to tier 2 territory now that the Micah Parsons addition reduces opposite-side pressure, or whether tier 3 becomes the stable late-prime baseline.
Gary came out of Michigan as the Green Bay Packers' 1st-round pick (12th overall) in 2019 after earning back-to-back All-American honors. He made the 2022 Pro Bowl before tearing his ACL midseason, then returned in 2023 and has anchored the Packers' edge across seven seasons. His STTM career runs tier 2 (#13) in 2022 pre-ACL, tier 3 (#19) in 2024, and tier 3 (#21) in 2025.
Strengths
- 2022 Pro Bowl plus the 12th overall draft slot establishes a top-15 edge defender ceiling exists at peak.
- Recovery from 2022 mid-season ACL into back-to-back tier 3 finishes (2024, 2025) confirms the structural ceiling rebuilt cleanly post-injury.
Concerns
- Two-year tier 3 STTM range (no tier 2 return since the 2022 pre-ACL season) confirms the post-injury ceiling has compressed slightly.
- Green Bay's broader defensive identity around the new Parsons addition creates the question of whether Gary's snap share holds in 2026.
What to watch: Whether Gary returns to tier 2 (top 15) in 2026 with the Micah Parsons opposite-side pressure boost, or whether tier 3 becomes the stable baseline.