Trey Smith

Kansas City Chiefs

Pos RG

RG rankings →

Model Score

75.9 MODEL

2021

69.7

2022

72.1

2023

74.3

2024

76.0

2025

75.9

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 12 games

117th

Sacks Allowed

1632nd

Pressures Allowed

233rd

QB Hits Allowed

333rd

Penalties

98.031st

Pass Block Eff

Draft & College

Round 6, pick 226 · Kansas City Chiefs · 2021

TENNESSEE (SEC)

Taken

#226

where he actually went

Consensus board

109th

average of the public big boards that spring

Our college model

#32

among IOL in our college data

He lasted longer than consensus.

In college · 2017-2020 · partial record

STM Take

Three Super Bowl rings plus the 2024 Pro Bowl plus the $94M guard contract creates a significant gap between Smith's career résumé and his STTM ranking history (tier 8 four of his first four years). The 2025 tier 5 (#40) is his first STTM finish outside tier 8 and only partially closes the gap. The 2026 question is whether the contract-implied tier 1-2 ceiling finally shows up in the STTM ranking or whether the on-field tape and the metric continue to diverge.

Smith came out of Tennessee as the Kansas City Chiefs' 6th-round pick (226th overall) in 2021 despite blood-clot medical concerns that dropped his draft stock. He has won three Super Bowls (LVII, LVIII) as the Chiefs' starting right guard and made his first Pro Bowl in 2024. He signed a four-year, $94M extension in 2025 that made him the highest-paid guard in NFL history at signing. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#118) rookie, tier 8 (#85) in 2022, tier 8 (#81) in 2023, tier 8 (#64) in 2024, then tier 5 (#40) in 2025.

Strengths

Three Super Bowl rings (LVII, LVIII) plus the 2024 Pro Bowl plus the highest-paid-guard-at-signing $94M contract establishes a top-tier guard market résumé.
78-spot year-over-year jump from tier 8 (#118) rookie to tier 5 (#40) in year five shows steady developmental trajectory.

Concerns

Four straight tier 8 finishes (rookie through year four) plus a year-five tier 5 (#40) creates a major gap between STTM ranking and the broader market valuation.
$94M contract implies a tier 1-2 ceiling that the STTM history does not yet support, raising contract-value-risk for Kansas City.

What to watch: Whether Smith crosses into tier 3 (top 25) in 2026, the threshold for closing the gap between his elite contract and the STTM ranking history.