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Betting HQ · Week 6 · Thu 8:15 PM ET

SeahawksatBroncos

KickoffThu 8:15 PMPrime Video
MarketSEA -1.5the posted spread
Our numberFree with an emailsee our number for this game
Total40.5the posted total
Triggers16of our tested angles fire on this game; which ones, with the Pass

Where it turns: the passing game. Expect the Broncos to find nowhere to throw.

A Seahawks win moves their playoff chances from 79% to 84%; a loss drops them to 71%. Play out the rest of their season →

A Broncos win moves their playoff chances from 60% to 70%; a loss drops them to 54%. Play out the rest of their season →

Who's out

Seahawks

10 more

Broncos

5 more

Every read on this page assumes the man is on the field. Designations as of 2026-10-13.

Head to head

The longer bar is the better unit, and it takes its team's colour. A long coloured bar against a short grey one is where a side has the edge.

Seahawks with the ball

Seahawks offenseBroncos defense
19th
Passing
13th
32nd
Run game
26th
31st
Pass rush
9th
31st
Third down
25th
6th
Big plays
19th
28th
Turnovers
9th
15th
Red zone
4th

Broncos with the ball

Broncos offenseSeahawks defense
24th
Passing
2nd
14th
Run game
1st
1st
Pass rush
2nd
23rd
Third down
2nd
28th
Big plays
1st
16th
Turnovers
1st
17th
Red zone
31st

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 5, close-game snaps.

Bets and money

On the moneyline, the money runs 19 points ahead of the bets on one side. Fewer people, betting bigger.

See the bets and the money→Every market, the share of tickets against the share of dollars. Free, just an email.

Team totals

Seahawks team total 21.5 Ours: free with an email Bovada, over -105, under -125; the spread and total split it 21.8

Broncos team total 19.5 Bovada, over -115, under -115; the spread and total split it 18.8

Team angles

Every past game that looked like this one, counted by the side it covered. More of them than luck would give point at Under 40.5 and Seahawks -3.

Under 40.5strong
3,263 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 1,507.
2.2xluck's count
Seahawks -3some
664 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 339.
2.0xluck's count

The strongest angles behind each side, and the 5 situations on the schedule that fit this game, 1 past the luck line.

Get the Betting Pass→See which angles back each side. $5.41 a week, $119 for the season.

Player angles

The posted lines where the prop board has a read: his record at that number in this spot, and what the defense gives up.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA Over 89.5 receiving yards (-115)Confidence 62
Why: this season 122, 155, 128, 76 (average 120); 50+ receiving yards in 10 of his last 10 on the road · Against: under 89.5 in 4 of 5 in prime time on the road; DEN allow 7% less than league to his position
3 of 4this season
Evan Engram TE DEN Under 2.5 receptions (+110)Confidence 60
Why: this season 4, 1, 0, 1 (average 2) · Against: over 2.5 in 4 of 5 at home as an underdog; SEA allow 12% more than league to his position
3 of 4this season
Evan Engram TE DEN Under 21.5 receiving yards (-115)Confidence 58
Why: this season 43, 17, 0, 6 (average 16) · Against: over 21.5 in 4 of 5 at home as an underdog; SEA allow 7% more than league to his position
3 of 4this season

10 more player angles on this game.

Create a free account→See all 10 more player angles. Free, just an email.

15 more posted lines with no read either waySam Darnold 219.5 passing yards (over in 24 of his 37, 2024-2026), Bo Nix 203.5 passing yards (over in 25 of his 38, 2024-2026), RJ Harvey 15.5 rushing yards (over in 12 of his 20, 2025-2026), Bo Nix 13.5 rushing yards (over in 21 of his 38, 2024-2026), Sam Darnold 4.5 rushing yards (over in 21 of his 37, 2024-2026), Jaylen Waddle 50.5 receiving yards (over in 14 of his 35, 2024-2026), Courtland Sutton 30.5 receiving yards (over in 28 of his 37, 2024-2026), Cooper Kupp 21.5 receiving yards (over in 26 of his 32, 2024-2026), Troy Franklin 17.5 receiving yards (over in 22 of his 36, 2024-2026), Jaxon Smith-Njigba 6.5 receptions (over in 21 of his 38, 2024-2026), Courtland Sutton 3.5 receptions (over in 24 of his 37, 2024-2026), Cooper Kupp 2.5 receptions (over in 18 of his 32, 2024-2026), Rashid Shaheed 2.5 receptions (over in 16 of his 28, 2024-2026), Marvin Mims Jr. 1.5 receptions (over in 20 of his 32, 2024-2026) and Troy Franklin 1.5 receptions (over in 26 of his 36, 2024-2026).

Model plays

Betting Pass

See our number for this game: free with an email.

See our number→Our own line on this game and how far it sits from the market. Free, just an email.

7 picks on the official card (2 bets, 5 watching): sized and priced, with the worst number to still bet each at.

Get the Betting Pass→See the plays, sized and priced. $5.41 a week, $119 for the season.

The card was last stamped Tue 12:34 PM ET, the same everywhere. If you bet with us all season: 60 and up 156-115-2, +24.2u.