BengalsatRavens

Longer bar, better unit.

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 6, close-game snaps.

Fewer people, betting bigger.

Bets is the share of tickets; money is the share of dollars. When the money runs well ahead of the bets, fewer people are betting bigger on that side, the move bettors call sharp money.

Spread

Bengals+1.5-1.5Ravens

Bets74%26%

Money79%21%

The public is on the Bengals: 74% of the bets.

Since 2018: when 65% or more of the bets were on one side, that side covered 53.3% (211-185-11, 407 games). Better than a coin flip, but inside the luck line: a random search finds that much by chance.

Total

Over48.548.5Under

Bets70%30%

Money59%41%

The under: 30% of the bets, 41% of the money. Fewer people, betting bigger.

Since 2018: when the money ran 10 or more points ahead of the bets on a side, the money side hit 50.7% (356-346-10, 712 games). No better than a coin flip.

Moneyline

Bengals-105-115Ravens

Bets62%38%

Money76%24%

The Bengals: 62% of the bets, 76% of the money. Fewer people, betting bigger.

Since 2018: when the money ran 10 or more points ahead of the bets on a side, the money side won 57.1% straight up, +4.7 units at the posted prices (504-379, 883 games). About even once you pay the prices.

Bets and money splits via DraftKings, as of Fri 12:04 PM ET. One book's customers, not the whole market.

Bengals team total 23.5 Bovada, over -130, under +100; the spread and total split it 23.5

Ravens team total 27.5 Bovada, over +135, under -180; the spread and total split it 25.0

Bengals +1.5could be luck

271 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 226.

1.2xluck's count

Over 48.5could be luck

622 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 598.

1.0xluck's count

Searched this week: 1,216 spread situations and 87 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.04 on the spread and 3.4 on the total.

Ravens -1.5: the strongest angles

points they scored last game 10 pts or less; their margin a game over the last three 2.33 pts or more 94-57

points they scored last game 12 pts or less; their margin a game over the last three 2.33 pts or more 109-68

how far last game went over the total -15.5 pts or less; the referee's cover rate for this side 42% or less 62-38

Bengals +1.5: the strongest angles

wind gusts 13.2 mph or less; the opponent's run offense vs our run defense (plus = worse) -4 tiers or less 76-33

wind gusts 13.2 mph or less; the opponent's run offense vs our run defense (plus = worse) -5 tiers or less 38-18

wind gusts 11.6 mph or less; the opponent's run offense vs our run defense (plus = worse) -4 tiers or less 42-22

Over 48.5: the strongest angles

wind gusts 11.6 mph or less; how much the opponent beat the spread two games ago 3 pts or less 71-43

wind gusts 11.6 mph or less; the margin two games ago 7 pts or less 85-55

wind gusts 11.6 mph or less; their cover rate this season 40% or less 45-27

Under 48.5: the strongest angles

their coach's year as a head coach 1 or less; their pass offense vs the pass defense (plus = worse) -4 tiers or less 46-22

a first-year head coach; their pass offense vs the pass defense (plus = worse) -4 tiers or less 68-37

days of rest 14 days or more; their pass offense ranks 2 or better (1 best, 8 worst) 52-30