The run game. Expect the Raiders to give up on the run early.
A Rams win moves their playoff chances from 30% to 34%; a loss drops them to 20%. Play out the rest of their season →
A Raiders win moves their playoff chances from 12% to 20%; a loss drops them to 9%. Play out the rest of their season →
The Raiders have 16 players on the injury report; the Rams have none.
Designations as of 2026-10-23.
Rams
- Nobody listed.
Raiders
Aidan O'Connell QBOUTCoach's Decision
Tyler Scott WROUT
Bryce Cabeldue GOUTCoach's Decision
Cian Slone DEOUTCoach's Decision
Dalton Johnson SOUTCoach's Decision
+11 more
Tristin McCollum SOUTCoach's Decision
Carter Runyon TEIRFoot
Dont'e Thornton Jr. WRIRHamstring
Jack Bech WRIRForearm
Brennan Jackson LBIR
Chigozie Anusiem CBIRKnee
Justin Pickett GIR
Keyron Crawford DEIRAnkle
Mike Washington Jr. RBQFoot
Quay Walker LBQChest
Tonka Hemingway DTQConcussion
Rams run defense, 10th, against a run game ranked 26th.
Longer bar, better unit.
Rams with the ball
Raiders with the ball
Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 6, close-game snaps.
On the total, the money runs 24 points ahead of the bets on one side.
Fewer people, betting bigger.
Bets is the share of tickets; money is the share of dollars. When the money runs well ahead of the bets, fewer people are betting bigger on that side, the move bettors call sharp money.
Spread
The Raiders: 55% of the bets, 69% of the money. Fewer people, betting bigger.
Since 2018: when the money ran 10 or more points ahead of the bets on a side, the money side covered 52.1% (330-304-23, 657 games). No better than a coin flip.
Total
The over: 73% of the bets, 97% of the money. Fewer people, betting bigger.
Since 2018: when the money ran 20 or more points ahead of the bets on a side, the money side hit 56% (202-159-4, 365 games). Better than a coin flip, but inside the luck line: a random search finds that much by chance.
Moneyline
The Raiders: 23% of the bets, 33% of the money. Fewer people, betting bigger.
Since 2018: when the money ran 10 or more points ahead of the bets on a side, the money side won 57.1% straight up, +4.7 units at the posted prices (504-379, 883 games). About even once you pay the prices.
Bets and money splits via DraftKings, as of Fri 12:04 PM ET. One book's customers, not the whole market.
Rams team total 26.5 Bovada, over -120, under -110; the spread and total split it 26.0
Raiders team total 20.5 Bovada, over -150, under +115; the spread and total split it 22.5
Rams have gone under 9 of 12 with a total of 48 or higher after a loss.
Over 48.5: 2,832 past angles back it, where luck alone would give about 1,238.
The last time the Rams were here, Sep 15, 2024: lost to the Cardinals by 31 as a 1-point favorite.
Inside the luck line: 119 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Rams.
The last time the Raiders were here, Thanksgiving 2021: beat the Cowboys by 3 as a 7-point underdog.
Inside the luck line: 107 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Raiders.
The last time the Raiders were here, Oct 27, 2024: lost to the Chiefs by 7 as a 9-point underdog.
Inside the luck line: 116 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Raiders.
Rams -3.5: the strongest angles
last game's spread in their favor (minus = underdog) 6.5 pts or more; how much they beat the spread a game (minus = missed) -4.32 pts or less 112-63
their QB's year in the league 15 or more; the opponent's overs hit this season 60% or more 94-55
their QB's year in the league 15 or more; the opponent's overs hit this season 54% or more 124-75
Raiders +3.5: the strongest angles
points they allowed a game over the last three 20.67 pts or more; their QB's year in the league 15 or more 158-93
their QB's year in the league 12 or more; their injury cost minus the opponent's -19.5 or less 106-63
points they scored a game over the last three 24 pts or more; their QB's year in the league 15 or more 150-92
Over 48.5: the strongest angles
what the opponent's defense allows to 6'3"+ receivers vs league 0.89 x or less; last game's spread in the opponent's favor (minus = underdog) 10 pts or more 37-14
how much they beat the spread two games ago -22 pts or less; how much they beat the spread a game (minus = missed) -1.38 pts or more 55-25
how much they beat the spread two games ago -22 pts or less; the referee's overs rate 48% or more 92-51
Under 48.5: the strongest angles
what the opponent's defense allows to 6'3"+ receivers vs league 0.87 x or less; their defensive line vs the other (plus = worse) -1 tiers or less 88-46
what the opponent's defense allows to 6'3"+ receivers vs league 0.87 x or less; their defensive line vs the other (plus = worse) -2 tiers or less 62-33
the opponent's receivers' height, by targets 74.5 in or more; the opponent's pass offense vs our pass defense (plus = worse) -4 tiers or less 57-30
Brock Bowers has 7 of his last 10 games indoors as an underdog with a receiving touchdown.
Michael Mayer Over 29.5 receiving yards (-115): 4 of 6 this season.
7 more posted lines with no read either way
Matthew Stafford 260.5 passing yards (over in 20 of his 39, 2024-2026), Kirk Cousins 238.5 passing yards (over in 12 of his 30, 2024-2026), Kirk Cousins 1.5 rushing yards (over in 6 of his 30, 2024-2026), Ashton Jeanty 25.5 receiving yards (over in 11 of his 23, 2025-2026), Ashton Jeanty 3.5 receptions (over in 10 of his 23, 2025-2026), Kyren Williams 3.5 receptions (over in 8 of his 39, 2024-2026) and Blake Corum 1.5 receptions (over in 5 of his 37, 2024-2026).
Our number for this game.
Our number Rams -2.0 against the market Rams -3.5: 1.5 toward the Raiders.
Last A Grade bet, graded: SEA at DEN, week 6, George Holani under 1.5 receptions (+110), won +0.55u; stamped Thu 7:41 PM ET; closed 1.5, matched the close.
15 picks on the official card.
Every card, graded, by email each week