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Kyren Williams

RB·Los Angeles Rams·#23·5'9"·207 lb·4th year·Notre Dame
Tier 2Round 5, pick 164 in 2022
Updated November 5, 2026
90.7
Model Score
Down from 91.7 last year
Trade value ·a late 1st

Kyren Williams has 112 carries for 548 yards, 6 rushing touchdowns and 33 catches for 242 yards in 8 games for the Los Angeles Rams this season through Week 8, 19.2 PPR points a game (updated November 5, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 1.0 from last season.

70809010090.720222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A system-made lead back with a boom-or-bust track record.

The case for

  • Career 4.6 YPC on 3,834 yards with 36 rushing TDs in only four NFL seasons; the touchdown rate is among the best in the field.
  • Receiving profile (111 catches, 745 yards, 8 TDs) gives him a PPR floor most lead backs in this rank range lack.

The worry

  • The 2024 drop to STTM #19 tier 5 was severe and not fully explained by injury; the variance band on this profile is wider than the rank suggests.
  • 5th-round draft capital means LA can replace him cheaply if the 2026 line regresses again.

What to watch: Whether the Rams' run-game share stays above 215 carries in 2026; the tier-2 case collapses without volume.

Full take and bio

Williams's career line reads tier 1 (2023), tier 5 (2024), tier 2 (2025), the most volatile profile in the top ten. The 2023 ceiling is real and the 2025 rebound is real, but the 2024 floor is also real. He sits in the same fifth-round-pick origin tier as Brock Purdy on the QB board: a system-amplified breakout asking whether the ceiling or the dip is the truer baseline.

Williams grew up in St. Louis and attended St. John Vianney before three years at Notre Dame, where he was the 2020 ACC Rookie of the Year and a 2021 second-team All-American. The Rams took him 164th overall (fifth round) in the 2022 NFL Draft. He broke out in 2023 as a second-team All-Pro and Pro Bowler, dipped in 2024 with a rank drop to STTM #19 tier 5, then rebounded to STTM #6 tier 2 in 2025.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Austin Ekeler, Jahmyr Gibbs, Ahman Green. Built like: Ka'Deem Carey, Cody Schrader, Mike Hart. Coming out: Ito Smith, Mike Hart, Stepfan Taylor.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 1 star, 1 starter, 15 backups, 3 didn't stick.

Kyren Williams Props This Weekat WAS Sun Nov 8

MarketLineOverUnder
Rushing yards60.5-110 Fanatics-114 FanDuel
Carries13.5-114 DraftKings-112 DraftKings
Receptions2.5-114 DraftKings+102 FanDuel
Receiving yards19.5-111 DraftKings-113 DraftKings
Longest reception10.5-119 DraftKings-109 DraftKings
Longest rush13.5-125 DraftKings-103 DraftKings
Anytime TD-141 BetRivers

Best price across 9 books as of Thu Nov 5. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Kyren's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Kyren Williams Injury StatusNot listed

Kyren Williams is not on the injury report as of Nov 5. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 8 games

Rush Yds54811th
Rush TD68th
Rec335th
Rec Yds2425th
Total TD78th
Fantasy PPG19.26th
EPA / rush0.00213th
Rush yds over exp5714th
Efficiency3.47
Time to line2.94s

19.2 fantasy points a game, 154 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$12.9M
APY
$11.0M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$15.1M
Years on Deal
4
Signed
2025
Est. Value
$16.4M/yr
underpaid by $5.4M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Kyren Williams at RB8 (the public consensus says RB9); the model has 146 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits WAS.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 5, pick 164 to the Los Angeles Rams in 2022, out of Notre Dame (FBS Independents).

Taken#164
Our college model#158 RB

In college, 2020-2021, 23 games: 2,098 rush yds, 31 TD, 5.3 yds/carry, 74 rec.

Recruited

Class of 2019 · Running back · High school: St. John Vianney, St. Louis, MO

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 358 in the nation. Composite 0.8959, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
Notre Dame

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2019 class are still being added.

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