Kyren Williams
Los Angeles Rams·#23Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Kyren Williams Props This Weekvs NYG Mon Sep 21
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 62.5 | -112 DraftKings | -112 DraftKings |
| Carries | 13.5 | -123 BetOnline | -105 BetOnline |
| Receptions | 2.5 | +120 BetMGM | -140 FanDuel |
| Receiving yards | 15.5 | -113 BetRivers | -110 DraftKings |
| Longest reception | 9.5 | -124 DraftKings | -104 DraftKings |
| Longest rush | 15.5 | +100 BetRivers | -112 DraftKings |
| Anytime TD | -160 Fanatics |
Best price across 9 books as of Mon Sep 21. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
Kyren Williams Stats This Season · 1 games
Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats
Draft & College
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
Williams's career line reads tier 1 (2023), tier 5 (2024), tier 2 (2025), the most volatile profile in the top ten. The 2023 ceiling is real and the 2025 rebound is real, but the 2024 floor is also real. He sits in the same fifth-round-pick origin tier as Brock Purdy on the QB board: a system-amplified breakout asking whether the ceiling or the dip is the truer baseline.
Williams grew up in St. Louis and attended St. John Vianney before three years at Notre Dame, where he was the 2020 ACC Rookie of the Year and a 2021 second-team All-American. The Rams took him 164th overall (fifth round) in the 2022 NFL Draft. He broke out in 2023 as a second-team All-Pro and Pro Bowler, dipped in 2024 with a rank drop to STTM #19 tier 5, then rebounded to STTM #6 tier 2 in 2025.
Strengths
- Career 4.6 YPC on 3,834 yards with 36 rushing TDs in only four NFL seasons; the touchdown rate is among the best in the field.
- Receiving profile (111 catches, 745 yards, 8 TDs) gives him a PPR floor most lead backs in this rank range lack.
Concerns
- The 2024 drop to STTM #19 tier 5 was severe and not fully explained by injury; the variance band on this profile is wider than the rank suggests.
- 5th-round draft capital means LA can replace him cheaply if the 2026 line regresses again.
What to watch: Whether the Rams' run-game share stays above 215 carries in 2026; the tier-2 case collapses without volume.
Kyren Williams Fantasy Outlook
Kyren Williams scored 16 PPR points, 15.5 per game this season. Compare him against any RB and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.