Kyren Williams
Los Angeles Rams·#23Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 17 games
Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats
STM Take
Williams's career line reads tier 1 (2023), tier 5 (2024), tier 2 (2025), the most volatile profile in the top ten. The 2023 ceiling is real and the 2025 rebound is real, but the 2024 floor is also real. He sits in the same fifth-round-pick origin tier as Brock Purdy on the QB board: a system-amplified breakout asking whether the ceiling or the dip is the truer baseline.
Williams grew up in St. Louis and attended St. John Vianney before three years at Notre Dame, where he was the 2020 ACC Rookie of the Year and a 2021 second-team All-American. The Rams took him 164th overall (fifth round) in the 2022 NFL Draft. He broke out in 2023 as a second-team All-Pro and Pro Bowler, dipped in 2024 with a rank drop to STTM #19 tier 5, then rebounded to STTM #6 tier 2 in 2025.
Strengths
- Career 4.6 YPC on 3,834 yards with 36 rushing TDs in only four NFL seasons; the touchdown rate is among the best in the field.
- Receiving profile (111 catches, 745 yards, 8 TDs) gives him a PPR floor most lead backs in this rank range lack.
Concerns
- The 2024 drop to STTM #19 tier 5 was severe and not fully explained by injury; the variance band on this profile is wider than the rank suggests.
- 5th-round draft capital means LA can replace him cheaply if the 2026 line regresses again.
What to watch: Whether the Rams' run-game share stays above 215 carries in 2026; the tier-2 case collapses without volume.
Fantasy Outlook
Kyren Williams scored 267 PPR points, 15.7 per game this season. Compare him against any RB and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.