Kyren Williams

Los Angeles Rams·#23

Pos RBHt 5'9"Wt 207 lbExp 4 yrCollege Notre Dame

Updated October 10, 2026

Compare Kyren Williams RB rankings →

Model Score

89.0 MODEL

2022

73.0

2023

93.0

2024

86.7

2025

91.7

2026

89.0

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Williams's career line reads tier 1 (2023), tier 5 (2024), tier 2 (2025), the most volatile profile in the top ten. The 2023 ceiling is real and the 2025 rebound is real, but the 2024 floor is also real. He sits in the same fifth-round-pick origin tier as Brock Purdy on the QB board: a system-amplified breakout asking whether the ceiling or the dip is the truer baseline.

Williams grew up in St. Louis and attended St. John Vianney before three years at Notre Dame, where he was the 2020 ACC Rookie of the Year and a 2021 second-team All-American. The Rams took him 164th overall (fifth round) in the 2022 NFL Draft. He broke out in 2023 as a second-team All-Pro and Pro Bowler, dipped in 2024 with a rank drop to STTM #19 tier 5, then rebounded to STTM #6 tier 2 in 2025.

Strengths

Career 4.6 YPC on 3,834 yards with 36 rushing TDs in only four NFL seasons; the touchdown rate is among the best in the field.
Receiving profile (111 catches, 745 yards, 8 TDs) gives him a PPR floor most lead backs in this rank range lack.

Concerns

The 2024 drop to STTM #19 tier 5 was severe and not fully explained by injury; the variance band on this profile is wider than the rank suggests.
5th-round draft capital means LA can replace him cheaply if the 2026 line regresses again.

What to watch: Whether the Rams' run-game share stays above 215 carries in 2026; the tier-2 case collapses without volume.

Comps

Overall match

size, testing and production, same career stage

Tiki Barber ’0155%Austin Ekeler ’2154%Charlie Garner ’9952%

Famous comp

names you know, same point in their careers (around year 5)

Brian Westbrook ’0678%Christian McCaffrey ’2275%Leonard Fournette ’2173%

Plays like

on-field production only

Jahmyr Gibbs ’2579%Brian Westbrook ’0678%Christian McCaffrey ’1877%

Built like

measurables only, his size

Ka'Deem Carey82%Cody Schrader82%Mike Hart79%

Coming out

pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Ito Smith ’1870%Mike Hart ’0866%Stepfan Taylor ’1366%

Names you know nearby: Ahmad Bradshaw ’07 64%, LeSean McCoy ’09 60%.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 1 star, 1 starter, 15 backups, 3 didn't stick.

Kyren Williams Props This Weekvs BUF Mon Oct 12

Market	Line	Over	Under
Rushing yards	68.5	-114 FanDuel	-111 BetOnline
Carries	14.5	-125 BetMGM	+104 DraftKings
Receptions	2.5	-141 BetRivers	+118 FanDuel
Receiving yards	21.5	-109 DraftKings	-115 DraftKings
Longest reception	11.5	-103 DraftKings	-126 DraftKings
Longest rush	15.5	-109 DraftKings	-119 DraftKings
Anytime TD		-160 DraftKings