Matthew Stafford has 2,146 passing yards, 15 touchdown passes, 8 interceptions and 18 rushing yards in 8 games for the LA this season through Week 8, 16.4 PPR points a game (updated November 5, 2026).
Model Score by season
Down 5.9 from last season.
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
An aging gunslinger who keeps bouncing back.
The case for
- Bounced from STTM #22 tier 6 to STTM #5 tier 2 in a single year, the kind of recovery only a few veterans on the list have authored.
- Five Pro Bowls and a Super Bowl ring, with a Rams system still designed around his pre-snap reads.
The worry
- Age 38 with a recent injury history that already produced one tier-6 season; the next dip is more likely than the next rebound.
- Two of the last four STTM seasons have been tier 4 or worse, so the floor is real even with the 2025 rebound on top.
What to watch: Games played. The rank case collapses if back or thumb issues knock him out for more than two starts.
Full take and bio
Stafford climbed back to STTM #5 tier 2 in 2025 after a tier-6 dip to #22 in 2024, the second time in his Rams tenure he has bounced from a down year. The arm is intact, the offense around him has stabilized, and the rank says the 38-year-old version still plays inside the top tier when healthy. The case is built on rebounds rather than a sustained baseline.
Stafford was born in Tampa and grew up at Highland Park in Dallas before three years at Georgia, where he became the first overall pick of the 2009 NFL Draft. He spent 12 seasons in Detroit, then was traded to the Rams in 2021 and won Super Bowl LVI in his first season in Los Angeles. He has made five Pro Bowls and turned 38 ahead of the 2026 season.
Comps
The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.
Plays like: Dan Marino, Warren Moon, Jim Everett. Built like: Matt Flynn, Nathan Peterman, Jarrett Stidham. Coming out: Kellen Clemens, Chad Henne, Kevin Kolb.
Of his 20 closest coming out: 1 star, 3 starters, 8 backups, 8 didn't stick.
Matthew Stafford Props This Weekat WAS Sun Nov 8
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 252.5 | -113 DraftKings | -111 DraftKings |
| Passing TDs | 1.5 | -158 FanDuel | +124 DraftKings |
| Completions | 22.5 | +105 DraftKings | -134 DraftKings |
| Pass attempts | 33.5 | -127 DraftKings | +100 Bovada |
| Anytime TD | +2000 DraftKings |
Best price across 8 books as of Thu Nov 5. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
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Matthew Stafford Injury StatusNot listed
Matthew Stafford is not on the injury report as of Nov 5. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
This season · 8 games
16.4 fantasy points a game, 132 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.
Fantasy outlookWeek 9
Our rest-of-season board has Matthew Stafford at QB12; the model has 143 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits WAS.
Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.
Draft & College
Out of Georgia.
Recruited
Class of 2006 · Quarterback · High school: Highland Park, Dallas, TX
GeorgiaHis full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2006 class are still being added.