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Chris Godwin

WR·Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tier 1Round 3, pick 84 in 2017
Updated October 25, 2026
79.3
Model Score
Up from 73.7 last year

Model Score by season

Up 5.6 from last season.

70809010079.32017201820192020202120222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

An elite route runner slowed by a bad ankle.

The case for

  • Four career 1,000-yard seasons, two Pro Bowls (2019, 2024), and a Super Bowl LV ring. The 2019 tier 1 #1 finish (1,333 yards, 9 TDs) and 2024 #2 finish bookend a career-long elite production window.
  • Wk 17 2025's 23.8 PPR shows the ceiling is intact when health cooperates. Career route running and Tom Brady-era trust patterns make him an evergreen asset to any QB.

The worry

  • Crash from tier 1 #2 in 2024 to tier 7 #50 in 2025 is the worst single-season decline of his career. Six of his last eight 2025 weeks scored under 11 PPR.
  • The October 2024 ankle dislocation has been the consistent overhang on his 2025 production. At 30 with that injury history, rebounding to even tier 4 is not guaranteed.

What to watch: Whether the offseason allows full ankle recovery, because his entire game depends on the route-running burst the ankle disrupts.

Full take and bio

The career arc has been jagged but elite. From tier 1 (#1) in 2019 to tier 1 (#2) in 2024 with a Super Bowl in between is a Hall-of-Very-Good baseline. But the crash to #50 (tier 7) in 2025 is the worst single-season finish of his career, and the 2025 game log (six of eight weeks under 11 PPR) suggests the ankle never returned to full speed. At 30 the rebound depends entirely on whether the ankle settles back to baseline.

Godwin came out of Penn State as Tampa Bay's 3rd-round pick (84th overall) in 2017. He has spent his entire nine-year career in Tampa Bay, posting four 1,000-yard receiving seasons, two Pro Bowl selections (2019, 2024), and a Super Bowl LV ring. His 2019 tier 1 #1 finish (1,333 yards, 9 TDs) was his career peak, and his 2024 #2 (tier 1) at age 28 showed he could still be a top-2 producer. A dislocated ankle in October 2024 derailed the back half of that season and the 2025 #50 (tier 7) finish shows the injury fallout has been deeper than expected.

Comps

Coming out: Torrey Smith, Jermaine Kearse, Stevie Johnson.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 2 stars, 5 starters, 8 backups, 5 didn't stick.

Chris Godwin Props This WeekTB at CAR Sun Oct 25

MarketLineOverUnder
Receptions4.5-106 FanDuel-106 DraftKings
Receiving yards45.5-114 DraftKings-110 DraftKings
Longest reception17.5-115 DraftKings-110 BetRivers
Anytime TD+270 BetMGM

Best price across 8 books as of Sun Oct 25. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Chris's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Chris Godwin Injury StatusNot listed

Chris Godwin is not on the injury report as of Oct 25. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season

Rec0
Rec Yds0
Rec TD0
Targets0

Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Draft & College

Round 3, pick 84 to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2017, out of Penn State (Big Ten). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#84
Consensus board75th
Our college model#93 WR

In college, 2014-2016, 40 games: 155 rec, 2,427 yds, 19 TD, 15.7 yds/rec. (partial record) Coming out: 4.42s 40 yd, 19 reps bench, 36" vertical, 126" broad, 7.01s 3-cone, 4s shuttle.

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