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Tetairoa McMillan

Carolina Panthers·#4UNDERPAID
Pos WRHt 6'5"Wt 212 lbCollege Arizona
Updated September 6, 2026

Model Score

78.5 MODEL
Resting on limited playing time

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 17 games

7021st
Rec
1,01314th
Rec Yds
711th
Rec TD
12211th
Targets
59.621st
Yds/Gm
12.523rd
Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

1.49610th
EPA / target
2.6 yd69th
Avg separation
5.9 yd
Avg cushion
-0.181st
YAC over exp
58.5%
Catch %

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 8 · Carolina Panthers · 2025
Arizona (Big 12)
Taken
#8
where he actually went
Consensus board
10th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#1
among WR in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2022-2024 · 32 games
185 rec, 2,901 yds, 20 TD, 15.7 yds/rec

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Coming out
4.5s
40 yd

Comps

College career
his college career vs theirs

STM Take

McMillan's rookie line at STTM #21 tier 3 closed with the 2025 OROY award and a 1,000-yard season at age 22. The career arc starts with a Heisman-tier college resume and a top-10 draft slot. The Bryce Young tier-8 QB ceiling caps the team-level upside, but McMillan himself authored one of the cleanest rookie-WR seasons in recent memory.

McMillan was born in Waimanalo, Hawaii, played at Servite in Anaheim, and was a 2024 consensus All-American at Arizona where he won Polynesian College Football Player of the Year. Carolina took him eighth overall in the 2025 NFL Draft. He produced 70 receptions for 1,014 yards and 7 TDs as a rookie en route to NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year honors.

Strengths

  • 2025 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year on 70 catches for 1,014 yards at 6'4" 212; the size-plus-production profile is rare.
  • Recent game log includes a 33 PPR Week 11 and 19.3 PPR Week 16; the ceiling weeks already exist.

Concerns

  • Bryce Young's tier-8 QB rank capped the air-yards volume; McMillan's year-two case rides on the QB tier improving.
  • Recent game log shows a 1.5 PPR Week 17 and a 4.5 PPR Week 15; the floor games come when Young sits.

What to watch: Whether Bryce Young's year-four jump translates into a tier-2 WR finish for McMillan in 2026.

Fantasy Outlook

Tetairoa McMillan scored 213 PPR points, 12.5 per game this season. Compare him against any WR and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.

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