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PlayerMatt Milano · LB, Buffalo Bills, Model Score 76.4Be the Bills GM

Matt Milano

Buffalo Bills
Pos LB
Updated September 26, 2026

Model Score

76.4 MODEL
2018
78.5
2019
85.0
2021
82.6
2022
83.1
2023
78.5
2025
73.7

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Two Pro Bowls plus 2022 1st-team All-Pro plus the 2025 tier 2 (#9) post-tibia recovery establishes Milano as one of the best linebackers of his generation. The Boston College 5th-round origin plus nine years of NFL starter reps gives him the structural Hall-of-Fame trajectory. The 2026 question is whether Milano earns his third Pro Bowl plus holds tier 1 territory or whether the structural post-tibia decline closes the elite chapter.

Milano came out of Boston College as the Buffalo Bills' 5th-round pick (163rd overall) in 2017 and has made two Pro Bowls (2022, 2023) plus earned 2022 1st-team All-Pro recognition. He broke his tibia in 2024 and missed extensive time. His STTM career runs tier 1 (#3) in 2020, tier 2 (#12) in 2021, tier 1 (#6) peak in 2022, tier 3 (#19) in 2023, and tier 2 (#9) in 2025 post-tibia recovery.

Strengths

  • Two Pro Bowls plus 2022 1st-team All-Pro plus the 2025 tier 2 (#9) post-tibia recovery establishes elite LB career résumé.
  • Boston College 5th-round origin plus 100+ tackles in multiple seasons gives him real outlier-positive draft-slot-vs-outcome arc.

Concerns

  • 2024 tibia injury plus the 2025 post-recovery return puts continued durability question on every 2026 projection.
  • Buffalo's cap structure around Josh Allen's QB contract limits the extension runway if the late-prime ceiling closes.

What to watch: Whether Milano earns his third Pro Bowl in 2026 plus holds tier 1 (top 10), the threshold for closing the structural elite chapter case.

Comps

Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Matt Milano Injury StatusNot listed

Matt Milano is not on the injury report as of Sep 26. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Draft & College

Round 5, pick 163 · Buffalo Bills · 2017
Boston College (ACC)
Taken
#163
where he actually went
Consensus board
182nd
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#81
among LB in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2016 · 12 games · partial record
59 tackles, 12 TFL, 6.5 sacks, 1 INT

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Coming out
4.67s
40 yd
24 reps
Bench
35"
Vertical
126"
Broad
What this pick usually becomes

Of the 500 players taken as a fifth or sixth-rounder between 2012 and 2021, 26% earned a second contract and 16% became starters. The median one started 2 career games.

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