Montez Sweat
Chicago BearsModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 17 games
Draft & College
He lasted longer than consensus.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
2023 Pro Bowl plus the 2022 tier 2 (#11) peak puts Sweat in the small group of edge defenders with structural top-15 ceilings, but the career arc volatility (tier 2 in 2022, tier 5-6 in 2023-2024, tier 3 in 2025) shows the ceiling is highly team-fit and scheme dependent. The 2026 question is whether Sweat returns to tier 2 territory with Chicago's continued defensive transition or whether the 2025 tier 3 finish becomes the stable baseline.
Sweat came out of Mississippi State as the Washington Commanders' 1st-round pick (26th overall) in 2019 and made the 2023 Pro Bowl. He was traded to the Chicago Bears at the 2023 trade deadline for a 2nd-round pick. His STTM career runs tier 5 (#40) in 2021, tier 2 (#11) peak in 2022, tier 5 (#39) in 2023, tier 6 (#41) in 2024, and tier 3 (#23) in 2025.
Strengths
- 2023 Pro Bowl plus the 2022 tier 2 (#11) peak confirms a top-15 edge defender ceiling exists at structural peak.
- Mid-career trade plus the Chicago contract reset gives him real veteran market value as the structural pass-rush anchor.
Concerns
- Career STTM volatility (tier 2 in 2022, tier 5-6 in 2023-2024, tier 3 in 2025) shows the ceiling is highly team-fit and scheme dependent.
- Chicago's broader defensive identity transition (multiple coordinators) compresses the structural support around Sweat's ceiling.
What to watch: Whether Sweat returns to tier 2 (top 15) in 2026 plus earns his second Pro Bowl, the threshold for confirming the 2022 ceiling is reachable.