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PlayerNick Herbig · LB, Pittsburgh Steelers, Model Score 78.2Be the Steelers GM

Nick Herbig

Pittsburgh SteelersOVERPAID
Pos LB
Updated October 8, 2026

Model Score

78.2 MODEL
2024
74.2
2025
83.5
2026
78.2

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Tier 6 (#42) in 2024 to tier 2 (#12) breakout in 2025 is a 30-spot one-year jump that puts Herbig in the top-15 edge defender conversation for a 4th-round pick. The Wisconsin 2022 Big Ten DL of the Year award plus the Steelers' position-specific pass-rush coaching reputation appear to be the catalysts. The 2026 question is whether Herbig earns his first Pro Bowl plus holds tier 2 or better or whether the 2025 finish was a one-year context spike.

Herbig came out of Wisconsin as the Pittsburgh Steelers' 4th-round pick (132nd overall) in 2023 after winning the 2022 Big Ten Defensive Lineman of the Year. He spent his rookie year as a rotational pass-rusher before emerging into a structural role in 2024 and 2025. His STTM career runs tier 6 (#42) in 2024 to tier 2 (#12) breakout in 2025.

Strengths

  • Tier 2 (#12) breakout in his third year for a 4th-round pick puts him meaningfully above his draft-slot expectation at the position.
  • Wisconsin 2022 Big Ten DL of the Year award plus the Steelers' position-specific coaching creates the structural environment that captures Day 3 ceiling.

Concerns

  • Single tier 2 finish without prior top-30 STTM history raises the question of whether the 2025 breakout is structural.
  • Pittsburgh's broader defensive identity around T.J. Watt's pass-rush priority creates the question of whether Herbig's ceiling is opposite-side-of-formation dependent.

What to watch: Whether Herbig wins his first Pro Bowl in 2026 plus holds tier 2 or 3, the threshold for confirming the 2025 breakout was structural rather than situational.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Famous comp
names you know, same point in their careers (around year 3)
Built like
measurables only, his size

Nick Herbig Injury StatusNot listed

Nick Herbig is not on the injury report as of Oct 8. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Nick Herbig Stats This Season · 4 games

0
Sacks
1
Pressures
1
QB Hits
3
TFL
12
Tackles
1
FF

Draft & College

Round 4, pick 132 · Pittsburgh Steelers · 2023
Wisconsin (Big Ten)
Taken
#132
where he actually went
Consensus board
110th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#142
among EDGE in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2020-2022 · 30 games
21.0 sacks, 36 TFL, 26 pressures, 134 tackles

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

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