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Daniel Jones

QB·Indianapolis Colts·#17·6'5"·230 lb·7th year·Duke
Tier 2Round 1, pick 6 in 2019
Updated November 4, 2026
79.3
Model Score
Down from 89.0 last year
Trade value ·an early 2nd

Daniel Jones has 1,542 passing yards, 5 touchdown passes, 9 interceptions and 75 rushing yards in 8 games for the Indianapolis Colts this season through Week 8, 9.7 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 9.7 from last season.

70809079.320192020202120222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A quarterback whose whole case rests on one year.

The case for

  • 24-rank, 6-tier jump in one season, the biggest move in the top fifteen.
  • Career 2,343 rushing yards and 20 rushing TDs give him a fantasy floor most pocket-passers in this range cannot match.

The worry

  • Pre-2025 STTM history reads #32, #49, #26, #31 going back to 2019; the multi-year trend is the opposite of the 2025 spike.
  • 55 career interceptions against 89 touchdowns is a worse ratio than every other top-15 QB on the board, even the rebound profiles.

What to watch: Whether his second look against AFC South defenses regresses or holds. One-year jumps without a prior tier-1 floor are the hardest profiles to sustain.

Full take and bio

Jones authored the biggest rank jump on the QB board in 2025, climbing from STTM #32 tier 8 with the Giants in 2024 to STTM #8 tier 2 in Indianapolis. The career history is brutal (four straight seasons at #26 or worse before this), so the entire tier-2 case sits on a single year. Either the Colts' system unlocked a real ceiling or this is the most stat-cosmetic line on the list.

Jones was born in Charlotte, walked on at Duke, and developed into the sixth overall pick of the 2019 NFL Draft for the Giants, where he earned the "Danny Dimes" nickname. He led New York to a 2022 playoff win and signed a four-year, $160 million extension the following offseason. He was benched mid-2024 and released, spent the rest of that year as a Vikings backup, then signed with Indianapolis on a one-year deal in 2025 and beat out Anthony Richardson for the starting job.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Brandon Weeden, Jon Kitna, Dwayne Haskins. Built like: Tyson Bagent, Charlie Whitehurst, Kenny Pickett. Coming out: Charlie Whitehurst, Jacoby Brissett, Sage Rosenfels.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 1 star, 2 starters, 8 backups, 9 didn't stick.

Daniel Jones Props This Weekat JAX

MarketLineOverUnder
Passing yards195.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada
Rushing yards8.5-120 Bovada-110 Bovada

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Daniel's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Daniel Jones Injury StatusNot listed

Daniel Jones is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 8 games

Pass Yds1,54219th
Pass TD527th
INT927th
Comp %60.7%24th
Rush Yds7518th
Rush TD19th
Fantasy PPG9.729th
Total EPA-50.128th
EPA / dropback-0.20128th
Time to throw2.78s
Avg air yards7.1
Aggressiveness13.3%
Longest comp (air)52 yd16th

9.7 fantasy points a game, 77 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$19.2M
APY
$44.0M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$49.5M
Years on Deal
2
Signed
2026
Est. Value
$32.7M/yr
overpaid by $11.3M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Daniel Jones at QB30; the model has 118 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits JAX.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 6 to the New York Giants in 2019, out of Duke (ACC). He went earlier than consensus.

Taken#6
Consensus board20th
Our college model#265 QB

In college, 2016-2018, 35 games: 7,755 pass yds, 54 TD, 27 INT, 56.7% completions. Coming out: 4.81s 40 yd, 33.5" vertical, 120" broad, 7s 3-cone, 4.41s shuttle.

Recruited

Class of 2015 · Quarterback · High school: Charlotte Latin School, Charlotte, NC

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 2,282 in the nation. Composite 0.7900, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
Duke

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2015 class are still being added.

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