Baltimore Ravens playoff chances, Week 10

8%chance to make the playoffs4-5, 4th in the AFC North, outside the AFC field today

<1%win the AFC North0%No. 1 seed<1%win the Super Bowl

Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET · results through Thursday of Week 10 · rebuilt after every final

The Ravens (4-5) have an 8% chance to make the playoffs heading into Week 10, less than a 1% chance to win the AFC North and a 0% chance at the No. 1 seed. They are 4th in the AFC North and would be outside the AFC field if the season ended today.

What do the Ravens need in Week 10?

vs Chargers, Monday, 8:15 PM ETThe Ravens win it 66% of the time

Playoffs with a win10%

Playoffs with a loss3%

Beat the Chargers and the Ravens' playoff chance is 10%. Lose and it is 3%.

Who should Ravens fans root for in Week 10?

Lions over PatriotsSunday, 9:30 AM ET · moves their playoff chance

9%vs6%

The Ravens’ chance if that team wins, then if it loses. Biggest swing first; games that move them by less than a point are left out. 20,000 simulated seasons.

Ravens playoff odds by final record

10-7 gets the Ravens in 69% of the time: 6 more wins in the last 8 games. At 11-6 it is 100%.

10-769%6% of seasons

9-815%16% of seasons

8-90%27% of seasons

7-100%27% of seasons

6-110%17% of seasons

5-120%6% of seasons

Playoff chance at each final record, and how often the Ravens finish there: their six most likely records in 20,000 simulated seasons.

Ravens playoff seed odds

The Ravens' most likely seed is No. 7 (5%). Seeds 1 to 4 go to division winners, and No. 1 gets the only bye. Seeds 5 to 7 are the wild cards.

0%No. 1

0%No. 2

<1%No. 3

<1%No. 4

<1%No. 5

2%No. 6

5%No. 7

92%Miss

Ravens remaining schedule

8 games left. At each game’s win chance the Ravens finish about 8-9.

Wk	Opponent	Kickoff	Ravens win
10	vs Chargers	Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET	66%
11	at Panthers	Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET	44%
12	at Texans	Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM ET	30%
14	vs Buccaneers	Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM ET	46%
15	at Steelers	Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET	32%
16	vs Browns	Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET	59%

Show the last 2 games

17	at Bengals	Thu, Dec 31, 8:15 PM ET	31%
18	vs Steelers	Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET	43%

Where would the Ravens pick if they miss the playoffs?

No. 12typical first-round pick in the seasons the Ravens miss the playoffs

In the seasons the Ravens miss the playoffs, their 2027 first-round pick typically lands at No. 12, and between No. 7 and No. 16 in 8 of every 10. It is a top-5 pick in 5% of those seasons.

The full 2027 draft order Mock draft simulator Run the Ravens as GM

The AFC North race

Team	Record	Playoffs	Win division
Steelers	6-2	84%	38%
Bengals	6-2	92%	58%
Browns	5-4	23%	3%
Ravens	4-5	8%	<1%

AFC North playoff picture Every team in the Playoff Machine

Pick the Ravens’ games yourself

Ravens playoff chances: quick answers

What are the Ravens' playoff chances right now?

8%. The Ravens are 4-5, 4th in the AFC North, outside the AFC field today. They win the AFC North in <1% of simulated seasons and win the Super Bowl in <1%.

What record do the Ravens need to make the playoffs?

10-7 gets the Ravens in 69% of the time: 6 more wins in the last 8 games. At 11-6 it is 100%.

Can the Ravens still win the AFC North?

It would take help. The Steelers lead the AFC North at 6-2, and the Ravens (4-5) win the division in <1% of 3,000 simulated seasons.

How are these playoff odds calculated?

Every remaining game is played out 3,000 times (20,000 for this week's what-if numbers). Each game's win chance comes from the betting line first, then the spread, then our power ratings, and every tie is broken with the NFL's official tiebreakers. It is the same engine as the Playoff Machine, so the numbers here match what the Machine shows before you make a pick.

How often is this page updated?

After every NFL game goes final, and each morning when the betting lines move. These numbers last changed Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.

Baltimore Ravens playoff odds from 3,000 simulated seasons of the NFL Playoff Machine, results through Thursday of Week 10. Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.