Pittsburgh Steelers playoff chances, Week 10

84%chance to make the playoffs6-2, 1st in the AFC North, the AFC's No. 4 seed today

38%win the AFC North4%No. 1 seed2%win the Super Bowl

Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET · results through Thursday of Week 10 · rebuilt after every final

The Steelers (6-2) have an 84% chance to make the playoffs heading into Week 10, a 38% chance to win the AFC North and a 4% chance at the No. 1 seed. They are 1st in the AFC North and would be the AFC's No. 4 seed if the season ended today.

What do the Steelers need in Week 10?

at Bengals, Sunday, 8:20 PM ETThe Steelers win it 39% of the time

Playoffs with a win93%

Playoffs with a loss79%

Beat the Bengals and the Steelers' playoff chance is 93%. Lose and it is 79%.

Who should Steelers fans root for in Week 10?

Lions over PatriotsSunday, 9:30 AM ET · moves their playoff chance

86%vs83%

Seahawks over RaidersSunday, 4:05 PM ET · moves their playoff chance

86%vs83%

Chargers over RavensMonday, 8:15 PM ET · moves their playoff chance

86%vs84%

Jets over BillsSunday, 1:00 PM ET · moves their No. 1 seed chance

5%vs3%

The Steelers’ chance if that team wins, then if it loses. Biggest swing first; games that move them by less than a point are left out. 20,000 simulated seasons.

Steelers playoff odds by final record

10-7 gets the Steelers in 85% of the time: 4 more wins in the last 9 games. At 11-6 it is 100%.

13-4100%11% of seasons

12-5100%21% of seasons

11-6100%27% of seasons

10-785%22% of seasons

9-832%11% of seasons

8-93%4% of seasons

Playoff chance at each final record, and how often the Steelers finish there: their six most likely records in 20,000 simulated seasons.

Steelers playoff seed odds

The Steelers' most likely seed is No. 6 (19%). Seeds 1 to 4 go to division winners, and No. 1 gets the only bye. Seeds 5 to 7 are the wild cards.

4%No. 1

7%No. 2

12%No. 3

16%No. 4

14%No. 5

19%No. 6

14%No. 7

16%Miss

Steelers remaining schedule

9 games left. At each game’s win chance the Steelers finish about 11-6.

Wk	Opponent	Kickoff	Steelers win
10	at Bengals	Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET	39%
11	at Eagles	Sun, Nov 22, 4:25 PM ET	60%
12	vs Broncos	Fri, Nov 27, 3:00 PM ET	56%
13	vs Texans	Sun, Dec 6, 8:20 PM ET	54%
14	at Jaguars	Mon, Dec 14, 8:15 PM ET	26%
15	vs Ravens	Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET	68%

Show the last 3 games

16	vs Panthers	Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET	67%
17	at Titans	Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET	68%
18	at Ravens	Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET	57%

Where would the Steelers pick if they miss the playoffs?

No. 16typical first-round pick in the seasons the Steelers miss the playoffs

In the seasons the Steelers miss the playoffs, their 2027 first-round pick typically lands at No. 16, and between No. 13 and No. 18 in 8 of every 10. It is a top-10 pick in 2% of those seasons.

The full 2027 draft order Mock draft simulator Run the Steelers as GM

The AFC North race

Team	Record	Playoffs	Win division
Steelers	6-2	84%	38%
Bengals	6-2	92%	58%
Browns	5-4	23%	3%
Ravens	4-5	8%	<1%

AFC North playoff picture Every team in the Playoff Machine

Pick the Steelers’ games yourself

Steelers playoff chances: quick answers

What are the Steelers' playoff chances right now?

84%. The Steelers are 6-2, 1st in the AFC North, the AFC's No. 4 seed today. They win the AFC North in 38% of simulated seasons, take the No. 1 seed in 4% and win the Super Bowl in 2%.

What record do the Steelers need to make the playoffs?

10-7 gets the Steelers in 85% of the time: 4 more wins in the last 9 games. At 11-6 it is 100%.

Can the Steelers still win the AFC North?

Yes. The Steelers lead the AFC North at 6-2 and win it in 38% of 3,000 simulated seasons.

How are these playoff odds calculated?

Every remaining game is played out 3,000 times (20,000 for this week's what-if numbers). Each game's win chance comes from the betting line first, then the spread, then our power ratings, and every tie is broken with the NFL's official tiebreakers. It is the same engine as the Playoff Machine, so the numbers here match what the Machine shows before you make a pick.

How often is this page updated?

After every NFL game goes final, and each morning when the betting lines move. These numbers last changed Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.

Pittsburgh Steelers playoff odds from 3,000 simulated seasons of the NFL Playoff Machine, results through Thursday of Week 10. Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.