Cincinnati Bengals playoff chances, Week 10

92%chance to make the playoffs6-2, 2nd in the AFC North, the AFC's No. 6 seed today

58%win the AFC North8%No. 1 seed5%win the Super Bowl

Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET · results through Thursday of Week 10 · rebuilt after every final

The Bengals (6-2) have a 92% chance to make the playoffs heading into Week 10, a 58% chance to win the AFC North and an 8% chance at the No. 1 seed. They are 2nd in the AFC North and would be the AFC's No. 6 seed if the season ended today.

What do the Bengals need in Week 10?

vs Steelers, Sunday, 8:20 PM ETThe Bengals win it 61% of the time

Division with a win75%

Division with a loss28%

The Bengals are 92% to make the playoffs, so the race now is the AFC North. Beat the Steelers and their chance to win the division is 75%. Lose and it is 28%.

Who should Bengals fans root for in Week 10?

Jets over BillsSunday, 1:00 PM ET · moves their No. 1 seed chance

9%vs6%

Texans over BrownsSunday, 1:00 PM ET · moves their division chance

57%vs55%

Titans over JaguarsSunday, 1:00 PM ET · moves their No. 1 seed chance

8%vs6%

The Bengals’ chance if that team wins, then if it loses. Biggest swing first; games that move them by less than a point are left out. 20,000 simulated seasons.

Bengals playoff odds by final record

10-7 gets the Bengals in 84% of the time: 4 more wins in the last 9 games. At 11-6 it is 99%.

14-3100%8% of seasons

13-4100%18% of seasons

12-5100%27% of seasons

11-699%24% of seasons

10-784%15% of seasons

9-835%6% of seasons

Playoff chance at each final record, and how often the Bengals finish there: their six most likely records in 20,000 simulated seasons.

Bengals playoff seed odds

The Bengals' most likely seed is No. 4 (20%). Seeds 1 to 4 go to division winners, and No. 1 gets the only bye. Seeds 5 to 7 are the wild cards.

8%No. 1

12%No. 2

18%No. 3

20%No. 4

12%No. 5

14%No. 6

7%No. 7

8%Miss

Bengals remaining schedule

9 games left. At each game’s win chance the Bengals finish about 12-5.

Wk	Opponent	Kickoff	Bengals win
10	vs Steelers	Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET	61%
11	at Commanders	Mon, Nov 23, 8:15 PM ET	60%
12	vs Saints	Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM ET	71%
13	at Browns	Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM ET	61%
14	vs Chiefs	Sun, Dec 13, 4:25 PM ET	52%
15	at Panthers	Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET	58%

Show the last 3 games

16	at Colts	Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET	59%
17	vs Ravens	Thu, Dec 31, 8:15 PM ET	69%
18	vs Browns	Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET	72%

Where would the Bengals pick if they miss the playoffs?

No. 16typical first-round pick in the seasons the Bengals miss the playoffs

In the seasons the Bengals miss the playoffs, their 2027 first-round pick typically lands at No. 16, and between No. 13 and No. 18 in 8 of every 10. It is a top-10 pick in 3% of those seasons.

The full 2027 draft order Mock draft simulator Run the Bengals as GM

The AFC North race

Team	Record	Playoffs	Win division
Steelers	6-2	84%	38%
Bengals	6-2	92%	58%
Browns	5-4	23%	3%
Ravens	4-5	8%	<1%

AFC North playoff picture Every team in the Playoff Machine

Pick the Bengals’ games yourself

Bengals playoff chances: quick answers

What are the Bengals' playoff chances right now?

92%. The Bengals are 6-2, 2nd in the AFC North, the AFC's No. 6 seed today. They win the AFC North in 58% of simulated seasons, take the No. 1 seed in 8% and win the Super Bowl in 5%.

What record do the Bengals need to make the playoffs?

10-7 gets the Bengals in 84% of the time: 4 more wins in the last 9 games. At 11-6 it is 99%.

Can the Bengals still win the AFC North?

Yes. The Steelers lead the AFC North at 6-2, and the Bengals (6-2) win the division in 58% of 3,000 simulated seasons.

How are these playoff odds calculated?

Every remaining game is played out 3,000 times (20,000 for this week's what-if numbers). Each game's win chance comes from the betting line first, then the spread, then our power ratings, and every tie is broken with the NFL's official tiebreakers. It is the same engine as the Playoff Machine, so the numbers here match what the Machine shows before you make a pick.

How often is this page updated?

After every NFL game goes final, and each morning when the betting lines move. These numbers last changed Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.

Cincinnati Bengals playoff odds from 3,000 simulated seasons of the NFL Playoff Machine, results through Thursday of Week 10. Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.