AFC North playoff picture, Week 10

58%Bengals to win the AFC North6-2, 2nd in the division today

Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 1:14 AM ET · results through Thursday of Week 10 · rebuilt after every final

The Bengals (6-2) win the AFC North in 58% of 3,000 simulated seasons heading into Week 10; the Steelers (6-2) lead it today. The Steelers and Bengals make the playoffs more often than not.

AFC North standings and playoff odds

Team	Record	Division	Playoffs	Win division	No. 1 seed
Steelers	6-2	2-1	84%	38%	4%
Bengals	6-2	1-1	92%	58%	8%
Browns	5-4	2-1	23%	3%	<1%
Ravens	4-5	0-2	8%	<1%	0%

Chances from 3,000 simulated seasons, official NFL tiebreakers applied.

What does each AFC North team need in Week 10?

Steelersat Bengals, Sunday, 8:20 PM ET · win it 39%

93%vs79%Playoffs, win vs loss

Bengalsvs Steelers, Sunday, 8:20 PM ET · win it 61%

75%vs28%Division, win vs loss

Brownsvs Texans, Sunday, 1:00 PM ET · win it 34%

40%vs14%Playoffs, win vs loss

Ravensvs Chargers, Monday, 8:15 PM ET · win it 66%

10%vs3%Playoffs, win vs loss

Each team’s chance with a win, then with a loss, on the race it is still in: the playoffs, then the division, then the No. 1 seed. 20,000 simulated seasons.

What record gets each AFC North team in?

Steelers10-7 gets them in 85% of the time: 4 more wins in the last 9 games. At 11-6 it is 100%.

Bengals10-7 gets them in 84% of the time: 4 more wins in the last 9 games. At 11-6 it is 99%.

Browns10-7 gets them in 73% of the time: 5 more wins in the last 8 games. At 11-6 it is 98%.

Ravens10-7 gets them in 69% of the time: 6 more wins in the last 8 games. At 11-6 it is 100%.

AFC North division games left

Steelers at BengalsWeek 10 · Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET

61%Bengals win

Bengals at BrownsWeek 13 · Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM ET

61%Bengals win

Ravens at SteelersWeek 15 · Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET

68%Steelers win

Browns at RavensWeek 16 · Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET

59%Ravens win

Ravens at BengalsWeek 17 · Thu, Dec 31, 8:15 PM ET

69%Bengals win

Steelers at RavensWeek 18 · Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET

57%Steelers win

Show 1 more games

Browns at BengalsWeek 18 · Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET

72%Bengals win

Pick the AFC North games yourself

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AFC North playoff picture: quick answers

Who is going to win the AFC North?

The Bengals are the favorite: they win the AFC North in 58% of 3,000 simulated seasons. Behind them: the Steelers at 38%, the Browns at 3% and the Ravens at <1%.

Which AFC North teams will make the playoffs?

Chance to make the playoffs, division title or wild card: the Bengals (6-2) 92%, the Steelers (6-2) 84%, the Browns (5-4) 23% and the Ravens (4-5) 8%.

How many AFC North teams can make the playoffs?

Up to all four. The AFC North winner gets one of the AFC's top four seeds, and the three wild cards go to the AFC teams with the best records that did not win a division, so one division can send four teams.

How are these playoff odds calculated?

Every remaining game is played out 3,000 times (20,000 for this week's what-if numbers). Each game's win chance comes from the betting line first, then the spread, then our power ratings, and every tie is broken with the NFL's official tiebreakers. It is the same engine as the Playoff Machine, so the numbers here match what the Machine shows before you make a pick.

How often is this page updated?

After every NFL game goes final, and each morning when the betting lines move. These numbers last changed Friday, Nov 13 at 1:14 AM ET.

AFC North playoff odds from 3,000 simulated seasons of the NFL Playoff Machine, results through Thursday of Week 10. Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 1:14 AM ET.