Los Angeles Chargers playoff chances, Week 10

0%chance to make the playoffs0-8, 4th in the AFC West, outside the AFC field today

0%win the AFC West0%No. 1 seed0%win the Super Bowl

Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 1:14 AM ET · results through Thursday of Week 10 · rebuilt after every final

The Chargers (0-8) did not make the playoffs in any of 3,000 simulated seasons heading into Week 10. They are not mathematically out. They are 4th in the AFC West and would be outside the AFC field if the season ended today.

What do the Chargers need in Week 10?

at Ravens, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 PM ETThe Chargers win it 34% of the time

The Chargers play the Ravens in Week 10, and the result does not move their playoff chance: it is 0% with a win or a loss.

Who should Chargers fans root for in Week 10?

No other game in Week 10 moves the Chargers by a full point.

Chargers playoff odds by final record

No record still in reach gets the Chargers in more often than not.

6-110%4% of seasons

5-120%12% of seasons

4-130%23% of seasons

3-140%28% of seasons

2-150%21% of seasons

1-160%9% of seasons

Playoff chance at each final record, and how often the Chargers finish there: their six most likely records in 20,000 simulated seasons.

Chargers playoff seed odds

Seeds 1 to 4 go to division winners, and No. 1 gets the only bye. Seeds 5 to 7 are the wild cards.

0%No. 1

0%No. 2

0%No. 3

0%No. 4

0%No. 5

0%No. 6

0%No. 7

100%Miss

Chargers remaining schedule

9 games left. At each game’s win chance the Chargers finish about 3-14.

Wk	Opponent	Kickoff	Chargers win
10	at Ravens	Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET	34%
11	vs Jets	Sun, Nov 22, 4:05 PM ET	56%
12	vs Patriots	Sun, Nov 29, 8:20 PM ET	33%
13	at Buccaneers	Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM ET	27%
14	at Raiders	Sun, Dec 13, 4:05 PM ET	42%
15	vs 49ers	Thu, Dec 17, 8:15 PM ET	26%

Show the last 3 games

16	at Dolphins	Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET	46%
17	vs Chiefs	Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET	30%
18	at Broncos	Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET	25%

Where would the Chargers pick if they miss the playoffs?

No. 2typical first-round pick in the seasons the Chargers miss the playoffs

In the seasons the Chargers miss the playoffs, their 2027 first-round pick typically lands at No. 2, and between No. 1 and No. 6 in 8 of every 10. It is a top-5 pick in 88% of those seasons.

The full 2027 draft order Mock draft simulator Run the Chargers as GM

The AFC West race

Team	Record	Playoffs	Win division
Broncos	7-2	95%	54%
Chiefs	6-2	94%	45%
Raiders	4-5	7%	<1%
Chargers	0-8	0%	0%

AFC West playoff picture Every team in the Playoff Machine

Pick the Chargers’ games yourself

Chargers playoff chances: quick answers

What are the Chargers' playoff chances right now?

0%. The Chargers are 0-8, 4th in the AFC West, outside the AFC field today. They did not win the AFC West or the Super Bowl in any of 3,000 simulated seasons.

What record do the Chargers need to make the playoffs?

No record still in reach gets the Chargers in more often than not.

Can the Chargers still win the AFC West?

Not in any of 3,000 simulated seasons. The Broncos lead the AFC West at 7-2; the Chargers are 0-8.

How are these playoff odds calculated?

Every remaining game is played out 3,000 times (20,000 for this week's what-if numbers). Each game's win chance comes from the betting line first, then the spread, then our power ratings, and every tie is broken with the NFL's official tiebreakers. It is the same engine as the Playoff Machine, so the numbers here match what the Machine shows before you make a pick.

How often is this page updated?

After every NFL game goes final, and each morning when the betting lines move. These numbers last changed Friday, Nov 13 at 1:14 AM ET.

Los Angeles Chargers playoff odds from 3,000 simulated seasons of the NFL Playoff Machine, results through Thursday of Week 10. Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 1:14 AM ET.