New York Jets playoff chances, Week 10

<1%chance to make the playoffs2-7, 3rd in the AFC East, outside the AFC field today

0%win the AFC East0%No. 1 seed0%win the Super Bowl

Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 1:14 AM ET · results through Thursday of Week 10 · rebuilt after every final

The Jets (2-7) have less than a 1% chance to make the playoffs heading into Week 10, a 0% chance to win the AFC East and a 0% chance at the No. 1 seed. The Jets made the playoffs in 6 of 3,000 simulated seasons. They are 3rd in the AFC East and would be outside the AFC field if the season ended today.

What do the Jets need in Week 10?

vs Bills, Sunday, 1:00 PM ETThe Jets win it 20% of the time

Playoffs with a win<1%

Playoffs with a loss0%

Beat the Bills and the Jets' playoff chance is <1%. Lose and it is 0%.

Who should Jets fans root for in Week 10?

No other game in Week 10 moves the Jets by a full point.

Jets playoff odds by final record

No record still in reach gets the Jets in more often than not.

7-100%8% of seasons

6-110%19% of seasons

5-120%29% of seasons

4-130%26% of seasons

3-140%14% of seasons

2-150%3% of seasons

Playoff chance at each final record, and how often the Jets finish there: their six most likely records in 20,000 simulated seasons.

Jets playoff seed odds

Seeds 1 to 4 go to division winners, and No. 1 gets the only bye. Seeds 5 to 7 are the wild cards.

0%No. 1

0%No. 2

0%No. 3

0%No. 4

0%No. 5

0%No. 6

<1%No. 7

99%Miss

Jets remaining schedule

8 games left. At each game’s win chance the Jets finish about 5-12.

Wk	Opponent	Kickoff	Jets win
10	vs Bills	Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET	20%
11	at Chargers	Sun, Nov 22, 4:05 PM ET	44%
12	at Dolphins	Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM ET	46%
14	vs Broncos	Sun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM ET	35%
15	at Cardinals	Sun, Dec 20, 4:05 PM ET	47%
16	vs Patriots	Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET	34%

Show the last 2 games

17	vs Vikings	Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET	35%
18	at Bills	Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET	17%

Where would the Jets pick if they miss the playoffs?

No. 5typical first-round pick in the seasons the Jets miss the playoffs

In the seasons the Jets miss the playoffs, their 2027 first-round pick typically lands at No. 5, and between No. 2 and No. 10 in 8 of every 10. It is a top-5 pick in 61% of those seasons.

The full 2027 draft order Mock draft simulator Run the Jets as GM

The AFC East race

Team	Record	Playoffs	Win division
Bills	7-1	99%	93%
Patriots	5-4	71%	7%
Jets	2-7	<1%	0%
Dolphins	1-7	0%	0%

AFC East playoff picture Every team in the Playoff Machine

Pick the Jets’ games yourself

Jets playoff chances: quick answers

What are the Jets' playoff chances right now?

<1%. The Jets are 2-7, 3rd in the AFC East, outside the AFC field today. They did not win the AFC East or the Super Bowl in any of 3,000 simulated seasons.

What record do the Jets need to make the playoffs?

No record still in reach gets the Jets in more often than not.

Can the Jets still win the AFC East?

Not in any of 3,000 simulated seasons. The Bills lead the AFC East at 7-1; the Jets are 2-7.

How are these playoff odds calculated?

Every remaining game is played out 3,000 times (20,000 for this week's what-if numbers). Each game's win chance comes from the betting line first, then the spread, then our power ratings, and every tie is broken with the NFL's official tiebreakers. It is the same engine as the Playoff Machine, so the numbers here match what the Machine shows before you make a pick.

How often is this page updated?

After every NFL game goes final, and each morning when the betting lines move. These numbers last changed Friday, Nov 13 at 1:14 AM ET.

New York Jets playoff odds from 3,000 simulated seasons of the NFL Playoff Machine, results through Thursday of Week 10. Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 1:14 AM ET.