Arizona Cardinals playoff chances, Week 10

<1%chance to make the playoffs3-6, 4th in the NFC West, outside the NFC field today

<1%win the NFC West0%No. 1 seed0%win the Super Bowl

Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET · results through Thursday of Week 10 · rebuilt after every final

The Cardinals (3-6) have less than a 1% chance to make the playoffs heading into Week 10, less than a 1% chance to win the NFC West and a 0% chance at the No. 1 seed. The Cardinals made the playoffs in 5 of 3,000 simulated seasons. They are 4th in the NFC West and would be outside the NFC field if the season ended today.

What do the Cardinals need in Week 10?

vs Rams, Sunday, 4:05 PM ETThe Cardinals win it 21% of the time

Playoffs with a win<1%

Playoffs with a loss0%

Beat the Rams and the Cardinals' playoff chance is <1%. Lose and it is 0%.

Who should Cardinals fans root for in Week 10?

No other game in Week 10 moves the Cardinals by a full point.

Cardinals playoff odds by final record

No record still in reach gets the Cardinals in more often than not.

9-83%2% of seasons

8-90%10% of seasons

7-100%22% of seasons

6-110%29% of seasons

5-120%24% of seasons

4-130%11% of seasons

Playoff chance at each final record, and how often the Cardinals finish there: their six most likely records in 20,000 simulated seasons.

Cardinals playoff seed odds

Seeds 1 to 4 go to division winners, and No. 1 gets the only bye. Seeds 5 to 7 are the wild cards.

0%No. 1

<1%No. 2

0%No. 3

0%No. 4

0%No. 5

0%No. 6

<1%No. 7

99%Miss

Cardinals remaining schedule

8 games left. At each game’s win chance the Cardinals finish about 6-11.

Wk	Opponent	Kickoff	Cardinals win
10	vs Rams	Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET	21%
11	at Chiefs	Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET	20%
12	vs Commanders	Sun, Nov 29, 4:25 PM ET	47%
13	vs Eagles	Sun, Dec 6, 4:05 PM ET	48%
15	vs Jets	Sun, Dec 20, 4:05 PM ET	53%
16	at Saints	Sun, Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET	36%

Show the last 2 games

17	vs Raiders	Sun, Jan 3, 4:05 PM ET	51%
18	vs 49ers	Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET	24%

Where would the Cardinals pick if they miss the playoffs?

No. 8typical first-round pick in the seasons the Cardinals miss the playoffs

In the seasons the Cardinals miss the playoffs, their 2027 first-round pick typically lands at No. 8, and between No. 4 and No. 14 in 8 of every 10. It is a top-5 pick in 23% of those seasons.

The full 2027 draft order Mock draft simulator Run the Cardinals as GM

The NFC West race

Team	Record	Playoffs	Win division
49ers	7-1	98%	90%
Seahawks	5-4	47%	6%
Rams	5-4	43%	3%
Cardinals	3-6	<1%	<1%

NFC West playoff picture Every team in the Playoff Machine

Pick the Cardinals’ games yourself

Cardinals playoff chances: quick answers

What are the Cardinals' playoff chances right now?

<1%. The Cardinals are 3-6, 4th in the NFC West, outside the NFC field today. They win the NFC West in <1% of simulated seasons.

What record do the Cardinals need to make the playoffs?

No record still in reach gets the Cardinals in more often than not.

Can the Cardinals still win the NFC West?

It would take help. The 49ers lead the NFC West at 7-1, and the Cardinals (3-6) win the division in <1% of 3,000 simulated seasons.

How are these playoff odds calculated?

Every remaining game is played out 3,000 times (20,000 for this week's what-if numbers). Each game's win chance comes from the betting line first, then the spread, then our power ratings, and every tie is broken with the NFL's official tiebreakers. It is the same engine as the Playoff Machine, so the numbers here match what the Machine shows before you make a pick.

How often is this page updated?

After every NFL game goes final, and each morning when the betting lines move. These numbers last changed Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.

Arizona Cardinals playoff odds from 3,000 simulated seasons of the NFL Playoff Machine, results through Thursday of Week 10. Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.