Tyreek Hill

WR·

Miami Dolphins

Tier 1Round 5, pick 165 in 2016

Updated November 4, 2026

86.7

Model Score

Up from 81.5 last year

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Tyreek Hill is a WR for the Miami Dolphins (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Up 5.2 from last season.

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

An aging superstar whose bottom just dropped out.

The case for

Six straight Pro Bowls (2016-2021), three first-team All-Pro selections, and a Super Bowl LIV ring establish a Hall-of-Fame trajectory. The 2023 tier 1 #1 finish with 1,710 receiving yards was the league's highest single-season WR output that year.
Career speed remains elite when healthy. The Wk 16 2025 15.32 PPR showed the explosion is still in there when the QB is functional and he gets a single-coverage look.

The worry

Five 2025 games under 2 PPR before the season-ending injury (-0.1, 0.2, 1.7, 1.7, 2) is the worst stretch of his career. The arc from #1 (tier 1) in 2023 to this is a fundamental shift.
Age 31 plus the documented 2024-2025 ankle and wrist issues plus the trade-request and contract noise during 2024 has compounded into a market where Miami may already be looking past him.

What to watch: Whether Miami trades him or eats the cap hit before the 2026 season, because the on-field sample says the relationship and the production are both effectively over.

Full take and bio

The 2025 #22 (tier 3) on a partial 10-game sample is misleading because the late-season game log (sub-2 PPR in five of his last seven weeks before injury) shows the bottom dropped out completely. From tier 1 (#1) in 2023 to a single-digit PPR pattern across most of 2025 is the most violent two-year arc on the board. At 31 with injury history and a contract dispute, the post-Hill era in Miami may be starting.

Hill came out of West Alabama as Kansas City's 5th-round pick (165th overall) in 2016. He went on to make six straight Pro Bowls (2016-2021), earn three first-team All-Pro selections, and win Super Bowl LIV. Miami traded for him in 2022 and he immediately posted the league's first 1,800-yard receiving season since 2013 (1,710 actually) in 2023, finishing tier 1 #1 in STTM. The 2024 ankle/wrist issues compressed his role to #47 (tier 6), and 2025 brought a season-ending injury that limited him to 10 games.